The IHS Markit Compliance+ module for the EU market provides comprehensive fleet CO2 forecasts, assessments and analytics along with an appropriate ranking of car manufacturers on a yearly basis against their sales-weighted fleet CO2 target performance.
Powered with leading-class intelligence, the dataset enables a contribution breakdown of car manufacturers of their target achievement at vehicle, nameplate, body-type, powertrain design and fuel-type level, and is forecasted through calendar year 2030.
Compliance+ is staged via a Tableau Web Portal and helps you understand the complexity of compliance across four key assessments:
- Fleet-average CO2 forecast assessment illustrated at various levels to fit clients’ workflow
- Gap-to-target analysis with penalty assessment breakdowns
- Illustration of combined CO2 technical, homologated and strategic optimization deployment, providing a NET performance prognosis
- Contribution analysis at technology, segment, body-type, and fuel-type levels and more
*For the United States, this functionality is included in Compliance Tech
The new Compliance+ Rolling Short-term Forecast, expected to launch in October 2020, adjusts the IHS Markit baseline sales forecast used in Compliance+ using actual market share (derived from monthly registration data of EU28 market ) to give more realistic powertrain and technology share at the nameplate level based on monthly changes.
- Scope: EU28 market, compliance position updated monthly on rolling basis
- Timeframe: Forecast for current year and next year (e.g. CY 2020 and CY 2021 forecasts for all releases in 2020 (i.e.: From March 2021 it will be 2021 and 2022)).
- Data versions: Each release provides three sets of forecast data:
- latest baseline forecast which is updated every 6 months (May & November)
- latest available monthly forecast which reflects up-to-date available fuel type and powertrain design share actualized based on registration, and
- previous monthly forecast for incremental comparison.
- Fleet-level data: CO2 compliance performance, CO2 target, excess CO2 emissions, and excess emission premiums for each manufacturer/pool.
- Vehicle-level data: Sales nameplate prognosis by propulsion system design and fuel type.
- All CO2 compliance performance reported is accounted for super credit, cap, and respective multipliers
There are multiple routes to achieve vehicle compliance. The Compliance Tech module lets automakers model three pathways based on IHS Markit pre-defined rules. The module shows automakers where they are at a fleet level – and what technologies to apply to achieve compliance. For suppliers, it identifies automakers in need of their solution. The Compliance Tech module from IHS Markit offers:
- Optimized technology pathways based on efficiency bundles to achieve fuel or CO2 emissions targets
- Current headline technology landscape and possible future technology roadmaps relating to vehicle energy reduction vs powertrain efficiency improvement
- Energy Walk for the only plausible option that enables an automaker to meet target
- Rolled up fleet compliance for all three technology pathways—mechanical technologies, electrification, and fleet mix/credits—assessed for regulated years up through 2030
The Compliance Co$t module enables financial planners to understand the overall investment of the technology required for achieving CO2 compliance based on the three specified routes outlined in the Compliance Tech module.
The cost estimates are derived using appropriate “cost model” data points aggregated to investment into the vehicle platform, nameplate and compliance parent level on a year-on-year basis.
- The Compliance Co$t module allows financial analysts to comprehend the overall investment on technology required for achieving CO2 compliance based on three specified routes: mechanical technologies, electrification, and fleet mix/credits
- Cost estimates on technology investments are derived with appropriate “cost model” data points aggregated to investment on vehicle platform, nameplate and compliance parent level on year-on-year basis
- All cost data points on efficiency improvement technology options are modelled and forecasted using IHS Markit data points, covering exogenous (market specific) and endogenous (OEM specific) factors affecting the cost of investment on a technology
- The Compliance Co$t module enables robust and quick investment choice options for early Product planning phases with an oversight on competitor value for money compliance routes