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Widening Chinese transport fuel surplus to pressure Asian region

09 July 2018

The further expansion of crude import quotas to Chinese independent refiners and slowing of Chinese demand growth have tipped Chinese middle distillate balances further into its surplus position. While the question on whether independent export quotas will be issued remains uncertain, there is no doubt that China will be exporting more middle distillates in the mid-term. This is matched by Beijing's raise of the first batch of export quotas for 2018. However, this means that the extra volumes would need to find a home. How will this change Asian trade flows? Will the Indian market worsen the surplus in the region? Could Southeast Asia and/or Oceania be a potential home for these volumes?

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