This week’s most notable development was Germany’s undersubscribed 30-year EUR2 billion Bund auction: EUR824 millio… https://t.co/L5YxW14Dlc
Weekly Pricing Pulse: Markets consolidate during a cautious week
Last week saw a slight rebound in equity markets following the sharp sell-off over the previous week's trading. In contrast, commodity markets continued to slide with our Materials Price Index (MPI) declining 1.2%, its third consecutive weekly fall. A rise in US oil inventory, economic uncertainty, and geopolitical tension kept commodity markets on edge.
Oil and chemicals prices continued their retreat last week and were the main drivers of the MPI's decline, falling -3.3% and -3.5% respectively. Lumber prices also registered another large decline, falling 3.9%. Prices have dropped more than 50% since their May high due to higher production in the United States and softer demand from housing starts. There are prospects of additional supply in southeast United States with the harvest of downed trees from Hurricane Matthew. Steel making raw materials, which seem to be defying gravity, ticked up 1.5%, their sixth consecutive w/w gain. Iron ore prices have been surging since mid-July in the hope that Chinese stimulus will lift steel production there.
The focus last week in commodity markets was on China's Q3 GDP release, which showed growth at 6.5% y/y, its slowest rate of increase since 2008. This roiled markets upon release, though the Shanghai composite stock index rallied on Friday 2.6%, its strongest one-day rise in two months after Chinese vice-premier Liu He dismissed fears around the escalating trade war, saying "the psychological impact is greater than the actual impact". Alongside these comments, the Peoples Bank of China announced a pledge to guarantee liquidity in the banking system and changes to individual tax laws to support growth. Despite these reassuring words and measures, the yuan seems poised to test the key psychological barrier of 7.00 to the US dollar. Whether it breaches this threshold will be an important test for commodity markets as the year closes.
- Capital Markets Weekly: German 30-year Bund sale at negative yields attracts limited demand
- Weekly Pricing Pulse: Recession worries undercut commodity prices
- Ethiopia's solar power reforms
- Guatemala's next president
- Capital Markets Weekly: Argentine Primary election vote triggers market shock, new sovereign-default fears
- Argentinian primary election
- Weekly Pricing Pulse: Trade concerns continue to weigh on commodity markets
- Ranking metropolitan business costs
Commodity prices, as measured by our Materials Price Index, fell another 0.9% last week, as growing recession fears… https://t.co/3ED4dL1Iau
Ethiopia's proposed off-grid electricity tariff reform and predictable network expansion plans likely to increase s… https://t.co/QDhTcD2nws