Week Ahead Economic Preview: Week of 7 June 2021
The following is an extract from IHS Markit's latest Week Ahead Economic Preview. For the full report, please click on the 'Download Full Report' link.
A series of key economic data releases are anticipated in the coming week, in addition to central bank meetings in the eurozone and Canada.
This week's global PMI data releases reflected robust economic recovery in May, though price pressures continued to build. Official data in many parts of the world confirmed this uptick in prices in April, but it will be of interest to watch how May's numbers would fare for the likes of US and China next week. One would recall that China's factory gate inflation surprised on the upside to rise at the fastest rate in three-and-a-half-years in April. Given the strong Caixin PMI price indications, elevated readings should not be ruled out.
That said, the market's concerns with regards to higher prices appear to have somewhat abated of late, but amid the current trend, there had also been some hesitancy to take on more risk. Next week's European Central Bank (ECB) meeting will be one watched with keen interest on how central bankers will weigh the risks for a region that is gathering momentum with reopening underway. No changes to monetary policy are expected, but tapering talks are not entirely off the table. This also comes ahead of the Fed June 15-16 meeting for a committee that had also ventured into the will-they-won't-they territory on tapering.
Finally, the G7 summit will be a multilateral event to watch as developed country leaders discuss the recovery from the pandemic, among others.
PMI commentary: Chris Williamson, Jingyi Pan
Europe commentary: Ken Wattret
APAC commentary: Rajiv Biswas
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Purchasing Managers' Index™ (PMI™) data are compiled by IHS Markit for more than 40 economies worldwide. The monthly data are derived from surveys of senior executives at private sector companies, and are available only via subscription. The PMI dataset features a headline number, which indicates the overall health of an economy, and sub-indices, which provide insights into other key economic drivers such as GDP, inflation, exports, capacity utilization, employment and inventories. The PMI data are used by financial and corporate professionals to better understand where economies and markets are headed, and to uncover opportunities.
- US and Europe report strong growth in June as Japan contracts
- Flash UK PMI price gauges hit record highs in June
- Flash UK PMI signals record surge in employment, but also hints at higher wages
- Eurozone prices spike higher as economy grows at fastest rate for 15 years
- Flash UK PMI holds close to record high in June as economy booms
- Japan flash PMI indicates further economic slowdown in June amid COVID-19 emergency and supply disruptions
- Global economic growth surges to 15-year high as COVID-19 lockdowns ease
- PMI data hint at rising numbers of staff shortages