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Over the past several years, economic activity in India has been
impacted by major events including the double shock of
demonetization and the introduction of the goods and services tax
(GST) between late 2016 and mid 2017, a significant corporate tax
rate cut in September 2019 and, most recently, the COVID-19
pandemic. With these events in mind, we review the Research Signals
India model which has proven successful in navigating the
uncertainty surrounding these major events.
Stocks ranked as buy candidates returned a monthly average of
0.62% in excess of the universe from September 2006 through June
2021, while sell rated stocks trailed with an average excess return
of -0.73%
The spread between top and bottom ranked stocks averaged 1.35%
per month and was positive in 73% of months, with robustness across
cross-sectional rankings
Stocks which were recently favored by the model include HDFC
Bank, Larsen & Toubro and UltraTech Cement, while Adani
Enterprises and Reliance Industries was poorly ranked
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