19 October 2021 Yen Ling Song Mark F. Esposito Fotios Katsoulas
Monthly Report: More tankers waiting off China as October crude oil arrivals accelerate
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Browse Content
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15 October 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki
Strong recovery followed by moderation
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14 October 2021 Jakub M. Kwiatkowski
GTAS Forecasting’s Airborne trade outlook – the latest release 2021-Q3
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09 October 2021 Alice Gladen
As we hit the 10-month mark since BREXIT, uncertainty over trade continues. The Northern Ireland Protocol creates a trade border between Great...
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08 October 2021 Robert Willmington
According to the latest IHS Markit Maritime & Trade newbuilding data, Chinese shipbuilders picked up the lion’s share of shipbuilding contracts...
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Capesize regional tightness signals stronger freight rates in the short term but likely to peak soon
04 October 2021 Daejin Lee
Capesize regional tightness signals stronger freight rates in the short term but likely to peak soon.
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01 October 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki
Global trade is likely to grow more moderately in Q3 & Q4
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22 September 2021 Guy Sear
IHS Markit and eMPX, a maritime high-technology company, are proud to announce a collaboration that will deliver customers in the maritime pilot...
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20 September 2021 Ravi Amin
The Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) has enforced a fine of approximately $860,000 to First Bank SA, of Romania, and it’s U.S. parent...
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15 September 2021 Tim McLaughlin
IHS Markit, a leading provider of critical information, analytics and solutions, and SESAMm, a specialist in Artificial Intelligence and Machine...
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07 September 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
India's exports of oil products in August totaled 4.53 million mt, largely stable from July volumes, although outflows of gasoil and diesel surged...
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02 September 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
OPEC seaborne crude oil exports dropped to 26.24 million b/d in August, from 27 million b/d in July. This is the first month total volumes fell...
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01 September 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
Recovery in global trade clearly sustained and broad with more moderate forecasts for Q3 & Q4 (Monthly Global Trade Monitor – AUGUST 2021)
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24 August 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
Mexico's state-owned Pemex reported 23 August that a fire at its Ku-Maloob-Zaap (KMZ) production platform has disrupted operations, potentially...
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23 August 2021 Yingzhi Zhang
Postponed by a year, the long-waited Olympic Games finally opened up this summer, though in midst of ongoing pandemic and restriction measures...
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20 August 2021
The coal market will be an influential factor in the coming months for the Capesize market. Capesize vessels have gained a larger share of the...
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18 August 2021 Daejin Lee
According to Bulkers at Sea Fleet metrics, the speed of all size classes (VLOC to Handysize) in the past four years by quarter (different market...
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18 August 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
Japan's crude oil imports are recovering impressively in August and are on track to hit 2.9 million b/d, up from 2.04 million b/d in July and...
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06 August 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
According to official trade statistics published in IHS Markit Global Trade Atlas (GTA), the market-leading bilateral trade research tool, in...
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06 August 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on prices of jet fuel globally and in Europe. After an initial shock, the observed mean unit prices...
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05 August 2021 Daejin Lee
We expect dry bulk market demand and supply balance will be stable in the coming years. However, our data-driven forecasting models predict freight...
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05 August 2021 Russell Patterson
On January 1st 2022, the World Customs Organization (WCO) will once again institute a new revision to the Harmonized Schedule; certain commodity...
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05 August 2021 Brian Cozzens
While many industries and commodities took a severe downturn due to COVID-19, there were some that outperformed their historical norms. Lumber...
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04 August 2021 Mike Wiman
Between the Suez, U.S. West Coast, Yantian, and even blockages of Australian coal into China, the disruptions have been attributed to diverse...
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14 July 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
Russia's crude oil exports to China reached 680,000 b/d in June, the highest since January, compared to just 462,000 b/d in May 2021.
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14 July 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The East Asia region has developed a solid and competitive global position in a number of regional value chains, including for instance electronics....
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13 July 2021 Pranay Shukla, MICS, F.NMIS
Indonesian coal shipments during June 2021, to Mainland China, which accounts for 53 percent of total Indonesian coal export, stood at 18.6mt...
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13 July 2021 Pranay Shukla, MICS, F.NMIS
Total agribulk shipments from the Black Sea region during June 2021 stood at 5.5mt (up 45 percent y/y) with wheat, corn, and barley at 2.8mt...
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09 July 2021 Guy Sear Byron McKinney
IHS Markit and Bank T&D Consulting have announced a partnership to offer Banks a comprehensive automated solution for managing Trade Based Money...
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01 July 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
We foresee a global recovery in 2021, with year-on-year real GDP growth rates predicted to reach 6.0%. The growth rates are predicted to vary...
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29 June 2021 Yingzhi Zhang
The recent incident to "mega" container vessel, Ever Given in the Suez Canal highlighted the impact one break in the supply chain can mean to...
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23 June 2021 Mike Wiman
A recent newsworthy U.S. import shipment provides a unique opportunity to visualize the end-to-end supply chain through the lens of multiple...
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22 June 2021 Guy Sear Byron McKinney
IHS Markit a world leader in critical information, analytics and solutions, and Complidata, a data driven AML innovation company, have announced...
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11 June 2021 Daejin Lee
Our weekly forecast models supported our view that although Capesize freight rates have declined over the past few weeks with the correction...
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09 June 2021
IHS Markit has awarded a channel distribution license to Khalid Associates Global (KAG) for the Pakistan territory. KAG will market IHS Markit...
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02 June 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The new release of the GTA Forecasting model from May 2021 accommodates the most recent macroeconomic forecasts, all available by-now historical...
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26 May 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The adjusted PMI NExO readouts for the global manufacturing industry in April 2021 were above the benchmark value of 50.0 points (54.67), which...
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12 May 2021 Brian Cozzens
Taking a high-level view for the past five years for cotton imported into mainland China, we see values peak with 2018 imports at nearly $10...
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10 May 2021 Russell Patterson
Governments and companies alike depend on international trade data for reliable statistics to track the ever-shifting marketplaces for traded...
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07 May 2021 Turloch Mooney Rahul Kapoor
East Asian container ports are the most efficient in the world and dominate the Top 50 spots of the new global Container Port Performance Index...
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05 May 2021 Ravi Amin
Trade finance professionals recognize the importance of the role they play in enforcing international regulations pertaining to export compliance....
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05 May 2021 Yingzhi Zhang
The international rose trade market amounted to USD 8.63 billion in 2019, the number dropped to 4.58 billion in 2020 - largely due to transport...
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30 April 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
We foresee a global recovery in 2021 with year-on-year real GDP growth rates predicted to reach 5.3% (4.3% in 2022) - adjusted upwards for 2021...
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29 April 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
Seaborne crude oil shipments by OPEC producers so far in April have averaged 18.95 million b/d, an increase of 2.6% from March, as the group...
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29 April 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
Air cargo in 2020 was affected more than global trade volumes - CTKs fell by 10.6% year-on-year with global trade volume falling by 5.3%.
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27 April 2021 Byron McKinney
The U.S. government has seized an oil tanker for involvement in ship-to-ship (STS) cargo transfers with a sanctioned vessel and other sanctions...
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23 April 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
Total crude oil discharged so far in April has averaged 4.87 million b/d, according to preliminary data from IHS Markit Commodities at Sea. This...
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20 April 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The real GDP of USMCA in 2020 was equal to USD 24.2 trillion (30% of global GDP, it was equal to USD 12.5 trillion in 1994 when NAFTA was established...
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07 April 2021 Alice Gladen
From analysing UK HMRC customs data, we see significant drops in UK trade with the EU in January 2021. Exports are down almost 50% with imports...
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07 April 2021 Fotios Katsoulas
The coalition expects oil demand to recover further over the summer, with additions of up to three million b/d by July vs April, resulting in...
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05 April 2021 Pranay Shukla, MICS, F.NMIS
Overall, during 1Q21, Colombian coal and coke shipments stood at 15.1mt (down 29 percent y/y). The significant decline was due to a halt in coal...
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26 March 2021 Daejin Lee
Congestion is expected to significantly worsen in coming days as it is unlikely that many vessels would detour, considering the expensive deviation...
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26 March 2021 Daejin Lee
General cargo (breakbulk) vessels that have shared similar terminal and cargo with geared bulkers (Supramax and Handysize) have shifted to the...
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25 March 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
We predict a year-on-year increase in the real value of global trade of 6.5% in 2021 and 4.3% in 2022 (we priorly forecasted 7.6% in 2021 and...
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18 March 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The most recent real GDP growth forecasts from IHS Markit were published on 15 March. We predict global recovery in 2021 with year-on-year real...
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18 March 2021 Russell Patterson
A closer look at the Asia markets shows that the increase in demand for U.S. SMP is possibly a result of supplier diversification, as a weakening...
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17 March 2021 Yingzhi Zhang
While maritime is still the dominant mode and a more mature transport means, rail is an emerging alternative for some market segments and supports...
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10 March 2021
Shell Shipping & Maritime has selected the IHS Markit Sea Cargo Charter Managed Reporting Service to provide independent calculations and streamline...
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09 March 2021 James Kwan
Build vs. Buy: Key Considerations When Embarking on Technology Transformation
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26 February 2021 Rajiv Biswas Rahul Kapoor
IHS Markit estimates that global trade volume contracted by an estimated -11.2% in 2020. A recovery is forecast in 2021 and 2022, with global...
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22 February 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The adjusted manufacturing PMI new exports orders (PMI NExO) readouts for January 2021 are above the benchmark value of 50.0 points for global...
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17 February 2021 Ashlee Williams
The International Maritime Organization (IMO), and the Women's International Shipping & Trading Association (WISTA International) have...
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08 February 2021
After a tumultuous year, cloud-based data management offers many benefits for the maritime industry.
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03 February 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
We predict a year-on-year increase in the real value of global trade of 7.6% in 2021 and 5.2% in 2022. This accommodates the forecasted recovery...
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21 January 2021 Yingzhi Zhang
According to Global Trade Atlas (GTA) data reported by individual reporters, in 2019, global palm oil (HS 1511) export exceed 50 million tonnes...
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20 January 2021 Jeremy Domballe
AIS is one of the easiest and relatively cheapest means by which you can track vessels internationally, and due to the identity information passed...
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19 January 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) Agreement was signed on 15 November 2020 after a long negotiation period started back...
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19 January 2021 Mike Wiman
Mexico carries a trade surplus with the US, exporting more than it imports from its neighbor. For the first 47 weeks of the year, Mexico increased...
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18 January 2021 Daejin Lee
As of 14 January 2021, around 36.2 million deadweight tons of dry bulk fleet are sitting off the coast of North China, including 11.8 million...
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11 January 2021 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
In terms of volumes, we expect global trade in 2020 to contract to 12.7 billion metric tons and to grow to 13.65 billion metric tons in 2021...
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11 January 2021 Alice Gladen
Forward planning with COVID-19 has proved difficult, with new waves, restrictions and long-term effects proving hard to predict. The Global Trade...
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08 January 2021 Ines Nastali
The COVID-19 pandemic presents challenges also to the dredging and marine civil engineering industry, with uncertainty over new contracts for...
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11 December 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
We now expect global trade in 2020 to go down to 12.7 billion metric tons and to increase to 13.65 billion metric tons in 2021 and 14.2 billion...
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09 December 2020 Guy Sear
IHS Markit’s extensive Sea-web database now highlights vessels with ties to illegal, unreported and unregulated fishing. This advancement was...
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20 November 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
In October 2020 PMI new export orders' readouts for all the main economies of the world, apart from the US, are above 50.0 points which is indicative...
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18 November 2020 James Kwan
For those planning a new digitalization initiative, the following five steps will help build a strong data management foundation that supports...
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12 November 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
To empirically identify the impact of COVID-19 on the trade we have built an econometric model in the gravity tradition explaining the intensity...
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05 November 2020 Byron McKinney
The maritime sanction compliance advisories published by the United Nations Security Council Panel of Experts for North Korea, the US Department...
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05 November 2020 Jeremy Domballe
As regulators continue to clamp down within the sanctions space, it's becoming apparent how historically some players would try to circumvent...
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05 November 2020 Yingzhi Zhang
Part of Zhejiang-Zhoushan Port Group, Zhoushan Port is emerging as a regional petrochemical hub, The blueprint sets out a target of building...
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04 November 2020 Mike Wiman
Mexico carries a trade surplus with the US, exporting more than it imports from its neighbour. For the first 39 weeks of the year, Mexico increased...
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03 November 2020 Ravi Amin
The People's Republic of China, by order of the President, has confirmed a new Export Control Law for the purpose of safeguarding national interest...
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03 November 2020 Raj Rajendran Fotios Katsoulas
The Vienna Alliance, consisting of 13 OPEC and 10 non-OPEC producers, has adhered quite strictly to production cuts of around 7.7 million b/d...
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03 November 2020 Daejin Lee
According to Commodities at Sea, dry bulk vessels anchored nearby China waiting to discharge Australian coal has increased to 75 vessels in Week...
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02 November 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
Mean export distance increased by 9.5% over the period 2000-19 from 4,464 kilometers in 2000 to 4,886 kilometers in 2019. An average mean export...
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23 October 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Nigeria's crude oil exports are expected to stand close to 1.7 million b/d in November and December. There are currently 45 million barrels of...
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22 October 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Japan has imported less so far in the current fiscal year, down 21% year-on-year. Imports in the first half of the fiscal year dropped to 2.34...
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20 October 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
China is the only top economy showing clear and consistent signs of recovery in Q2 and Q3 2020 - Chinese exports were higher by 0.3% in June...
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19 October 2020 Daejin Lee
Panamax average earning has been supported by a strong grain demand this year, despite the COVID-19 pandemic and limited coal trade. Chinese...
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14 October 2020 Yingzhi Zhang
E-Commerce has experienced rapid growth in recent years. Cosmetics is among the fastest growing consumer products.
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09 October 2020 Jamie Penniman
The COVID-19 pandemic and explosion in Beirut have underscored the need for marine insurers to develop better ways to understand their risk exposure...
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07 October 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Norway's crude oil exports dropped to 1.2 million b/d in September, down from 1.48 million b/d in August. An escalating workers' strike since...
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06 October 2020 Daejin Lee
At the start of October, Capesize (180,000 dwt) timecharter rates increased to about USD30,000/day from USD15,000/day from just two weeks ago....
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01 October 2020 Mike Wiman
For the first 34 weeks of the year, Mexico increased import MTONs from the US by 1.2% year-on-year 2019 to 2020 but decreased import value by...
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01 October 2020 Raj Rajendran Fotios Katsoulas
Seaborne crude oil shipments by the OPEC+ group rose in September without busting the agreed ceiling as some members looked to the export market...
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30 September 2020 Alice Gladen
China's importance as a trade partner for German pork was clear in 2019 when the volume of German exports to China increased by 81% compared...
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25 September 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
According to the new release of the IHS Markit GTA Forecasting model global merchandise trade is likely to go down in 2020 to USD 16,672 billion...
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24 September 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
So far in September, more than 700,000 b/d have been shipped from US ports to China, with estimates that volumes could even surpass 800,000 b/d...
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22 September 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
The UAE, Saudi Arabia and India have dominated jet fuel flows to Europe, accounting for almost half of the volumes shipped to Europe. The seasonality...
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18 September 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
According to IHS Markit Commodities at Sea, crude oil shipments to China dropped to 7.6 million b/d so far in the first half of September, compared...
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16 September 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
OPEC has revised down its forecast for global oil demand by another 400,000 b/d this year. The cartel now expects consumption to decline by 9.5...
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15 September 2020 Dalibor Gogic
Year-on-year, for the first eight months of this year total major grain exports to China including soybeans is lower by about 14%.
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14 September 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Rates jumped to more than USD 24,000 per day on 11th September once first rumours started to spread around a potential second wave of interest...
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07 September 2020 Mike Wiman
Mexico usually carries a trade surplus with the US, exporting more than it imports from its northern neighbor. For the first 30 weeks of the...
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07 September 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The trend in the PMI is clear and consistent within Q2 of 2020 showing a gradual improvement in market confidence from May onwards and continuing...
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07 September 2020 Daejin Lee
Once the surge in pent-up demand is satisfied and the boost to apparent consumption from inventory restocking is complete, growth may fade, exposing...
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04 September 2020
As of August 2020, Wolfsberg Group has released a statement encouraging authorities to adopt the FATF guidelines in accordance to mitigating...
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03 September 2020 Byron McKinney
A joint advisory document has been released by three US government departments regarding North Korea’s ballistic missile procurement activity....
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03 September 2020 Yingzhi Zhang
China is UK's third largest import trade partner in recent years holding steady at 9% market share. While trade talks around 'Brexit' mostly...
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03 September 2020 Ines Nastali
Fewer scrubbers and ballast water management systems (BWMS) will be installed in 2020 due to COVID-19, according to this year’s Maritime Compliance...
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24 August 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Brazilian Crude Oil Exports remain strong so far in August, with volumes only marginally down since last month. The country has been loading...
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18 August 2020 Jeremy Domballe
With more than 60% of arrivals occuring within the port of Beirut, the port is a vital infrastructure supporting Lebanon economic activity.
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18 August 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Russia is now increasing its crude oil and condensate output, but seaborne exports remained unchanged in first half of August. Production has...
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17 August 2020 Alice Gladen
The value of trade in organic chemicals reached $846 Billion in 2019 however, this was down by around 10% from 2018 values. 2019 was a tumultuous...
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17 August 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The value of global exports in the first four months of 2020 reported by the analyzed states amounted to five billion US dollars. It represents...
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13 August 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Japan crude oil imports increased by 13.6% in July month-on-month but remained around 29% lower than a year ago. The country's appetite for crude...
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06 August 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
North Sea’s total crude oil loadings activity is expected to hit this year’s record low in September. Most recent loading schedules suggest exports...
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05 August 2020 Mike Wiman
US-Mexico cross-border trade via Mexico customs bill of lading data.
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05 August 2020 Alice Gladen
Using vessel port callings data combined with trade data to analyse the US response to COVID on a state level.
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05 August 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
India imported 5.14 million b/d of crude oil in July, up 82% month-on-month and 23% up year-on-year.
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05 August 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
China mainland is the only top economy showing signs of recovery in Q2 2020 both in exports and imports
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04 August 2020 Raj Rajendran Fotios Katsoulas
Seaborne crude oil exports by OPEC members rose in July as Gulf nations such as Saudi Arabia, the UAE and Kuwait were no longer held back by...
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04 August 2020 Daejin Lee
The current dry bulk market is Capesize-driven market. We have seen C5TC has increased to more than USD 30,000 per day in early July 2020 from...
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24 July 2020 Jeremy Domballe
A research addressing the use case and role of statistical trade data in commodity trading.
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21 July 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
OPEC together with other members of the Vienna Alliance decided that current production cuts of 9.7 million barrels per day (b/d) will remain...
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16 July 2020 Byron McKinney
In the C4ADS report, IHS Markit’s role as the issuer of the IMO number for vessels and originating source for the IMO Unique Company and Registered...
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15 July 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The Western hemisphere countries (EU, the UK, the US, and Canada) seem at this stage to be more adversely affected than other economies, however...
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07 July 2020 John Mathai
International trade in crucial COVID related medical supplies touched $188 billion during 1Q20, registering a growth of 12% over the same period...
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02 July 2020 Mike Wiman
Mexico didn’t impose large-scale quarantines until the last week of March, and the containerized export volume declines (measured in 20-foot...
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02 July 2020 Jeremy Domballe
The EU imports from an average of 211 unique Non-EU Trade partners each year – representing a 22% increase in value of goods and 227 Billion...
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02 July 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
In Q1 2020 the value of global exports of aerospace products and parts fell to USD 75,854 billion which represents a fall of 8.0% year-on-year...
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01 July 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
The United States is expected to play a significant role in the recovery of oil prices over the coming months, with their crude oil output falling...
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19 June 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
April 2020 brought about a massive collapse in the value of exports (year-on-year) with exports falling by 19.1% in Japan and by 25.1% in South...
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17 June 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
China's imports of US crude oil are expected to hit record-high levels in July with cargoes shipped in May having surpassed 550,000 b/d.
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16 June 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Iraq is expected to export around 2.8 million b/d of crude oil in June, as the country is determined to commit to the OPEC+ production cuts deal...
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16 June 2020 Alice Gladen
The impact on the shipping industry has been widespread, whether that is the complete freezing of the cruise ship industry, the implications...
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10 June 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D. Katarzyna Skrzypek
It is important to stress that China mainland is a significantly more important trade partner of Hong Kong SAR than the US.
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09 June 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Production of Mexico's state-owned Pemex only reached 1.53 million b/d in May, around 123,000 b/d lower than the 100,000 b/d cut agreed at the...
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08 June 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Russian seaborne exports of crude oil marginally fell below four million b/d in May, with volumes coming down 15% month-on-month and 21% year-on-year....
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28 May 2020
Behind every casualty and vessel total loss statistic are seafarers that have lost their lives, been injured, or suffer long-term physical or...
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26 May 2020 Ashlee Williams
Maritime UK, the industry body for the maritime sector, has announced IHS Markit as the seventh company to gain Charter certification as part...
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22 May 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
World merchandise trade is expected to fall in real value by 13.6% in 2020 due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
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19 May 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
China’s appetite for Brazilian barrels has remained strong over the last couple of months, but most recent data by IHS Markit Commodities at...
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15 May 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Shipments from OPEC members are already significantly down in the first half of May compared to last month. Total volumes exported from the 13...
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14 May 2020 Jeremy Domballe
Grains and cereals have become an increasingly important commodity used in everyday life, from being grounded into flour for baking to simply...
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14 May 2020 Mike Wiman
Looking at containerized trade by 20-foot equivalent units (TEUs), total Mexico exports to the US were relatively flat, declining just 0.9% the...
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08 May 2020 Katarzyna Skrzypek
The situation and prospects for 2020
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04 May 2020 Alice Gladen
As COVID-19 continues to have an impact and lockdown continues throughout the world, the UK fishing industry appears to be struggling. The Marine...
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30 April 2020 Jeremy Domballe
IHS Markit US Bill of Lading data is ingested daily, containing invaluable insights into market evolution. The tagging of containerised goods...
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30 April 2020 Guy Sear
The shipping industry has been thrown into chaos by an unprecedented increase in sanctions.
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29 April 2020 Jeremy Domballe
The US is the number one partner of pharmaceutical and medical equipment/chemical from China representing 18.07% of total Chinese exports.
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28 April 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Most recent data by IHS Markit Commodities at Sea suggests that utilisation rates for LR2 have improved, while those for LR1 have actually declined....
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24 April 2020 Byron McKinney
The release of the United Nations North Korea Panel of Experts report for March 2020 outlines the main areas of activity deployed by the Democratic...
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23 April 2020
The maritime industry has seen a decrease in total losses of ships over the past five years, attributed by many in the industry to increased...
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22 April 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Several tankers heading for destinations across Europe have been facing huge delays due to high congestion during the last couple of weeks, with...
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17 April 2020 Krispen Atkinson Karim Fawaz Fotios Katsoulas
The last major period of global oil oversupply was 2014–16, during which global inventories built up by about 1.1 billion bbls, or an average...
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16 April 2020 Dalibor Gogic
The majority of cruise operators have ceased operations amid the coronavirus outbreak, and our AIS data suggests that a large number of vessels...
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14 April 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
Chinese exports went down by USD 71,342 million to USD 281.4 billion. It represents a fall of 20.2% in comparison to 2019.
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09 April 2020 Bill Cassidy
As truck drivers rush to deliver essential goods during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, US shippers are taking advantage of...
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08 April 2020
State of Maritime Safety report launched today
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06 April 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Saudi Arabia seems to be determined to follow its plan to ramp up oil exports in April, with the market already having observed a first wave...
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02 April 2020
On 31 March 2020 the US Supreme Court decided that the safe berth clause in charter parties establishes a warranty of safety, in what is being...
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30 March 2020 Peter Tirschwell
A seesaw effect of cargo and empty container movement between Asia and North America is beginning to take shape as the extended China manufacturing...
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30 March 2020
If the sanctions against Iran remain unchanged, Iran is expected to lose its revenues resulting from the reduction of crude oil exports by 1.210...
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27 March 2020 Greg Knowler
Extensive blank sailings have left virtually no empty containers available at European ports, according to the latest data, and extreme measures...
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26 March 2020
Just as the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spreads from China to North America, the disruptive impact of the pandemic will shift from worries...
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26 March 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The global spread of the COVID-19 epidemic is the single biggest risk facing the world economy in early 2020.
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25 March 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
The sharp decline in the West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the primary US oil benchmark, by around USD 30 per barrel in just a month, leaves no...
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24 March 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Indian crude oil imports reached 4.5 million b/d in February, with March currently standing at 4.55 million b/d, primarily driven by lower oil...
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17 March 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
Russia is considered as a bookcase example of a resource course-stricken economy with a growth model highly dependent on the price of oil and...
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13 March 2020 Greg Knowler
China’s record slump in manufacturing output during factory closures in February to combat the spread of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)...
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11 March 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The y/y changes in trade data for four out of the main nine economies of the world show that 2019 was a difficult year with sluggish growth and...
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10 March 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Crude oil market seems to be transitioning into a new era, with multiple adjustments expected across the world.
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10 March 2020 Rahul Kapoor
Crude oil imports recover in late February, iron ore, coal, minor bulks seeing double dip.
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26 February 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
Both US and Chinese exports and imports show significant seasonality; the seasonal component is stronger for China than for the US.
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25 February 2020 Rahul Kapoor
Average weekly crude oil discharged in China has returned closer to normal levels despite a lower vessel count.
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25 February 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
Chinese exports of agri-food commodities amounted to USD 64.83 billion in 2019. It increased by 85% in comparison to 2005
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21 February 2020
Unipec, China’s biggest oil trader, has chartered a tanker to ship a cargo of Vietnamese crude to Hawaii, in the first such shipment in more...
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20 February 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
The coronavirus's effect starts becoming clear, with China’s energy demand falling sharply.
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18 February 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) is for the time being the most significant black swan of 2020
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18 February 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
After the first cargo was loaded on Suezmax “YANNIS P.” in late January, IHS Markit Commodities at Sea identified a second shipment coming from...
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18 February 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Weak crude oil prices driven by the coronavirus outbreak seem to have positively affected demand for crude oil in India.
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07 February 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Oil producers based in the US, the major driver of global supply growth, have been going through downsizing to rationalise debt. These companies...
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Crude Oil Trade: Coronavirus shaping sentiment for now, but potentially a huge impact on the horizon
06 February 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
The oil market is going through the biggest negative demand shock since the Great Recession of 2008-2009, with the spread of the coronavirus...
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05 February 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Russian oil output has again approached record high levels last month, with January’s production estimated at 11.28 million b/d, including gas...
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28 January 2020 Byron McKinney
The sanctions imposed on subsidiary ship owners that were part of the COSCO Shipping family in late 2019 by the Office of Foreign Asset Control...
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28 January 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The UK will leave the European Union on 31 January 2020 after 47 years of membership (a truly once in a century event). The uncertainty over...
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24 January 2020 Daejin Lee
On 15 January 2020, President Trump and Chinese Vice Premier He signed the highly anticipated “phase-one” trade agreement between the US and...
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24 January 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
The debut of Guyana’s seaborne exports is rather significant for the regional market, as the producer will add significant output capacity.
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23 January 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Concern increases around the future of Libya’s crude oil production yet again. There doesn’t seem to be any improvement on the horizon. Libya’s...
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23 January 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
China is by far the largest exporter of iron and steel in 2019 having exported 87.3 million metric tons which equals approximately 15.8 % of...
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20 January 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
The US Senate has approved the US-Mexico-Canada trade agreement, while a trade deal was signed earlier this week between Washington and Beijing...
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16 January 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
In 2017, producers across the Middle East supplied around 74% of crude oil flows to South Korea, with their share having dropped to 68% in 2018...
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14 January 2020 Daejin Lee
China's 2019 coal imports were up 6.3% compared with 2018 levels, while December’s imports tumbled nearly 73% to 2.77 million tonnes.
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14 January 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
OPEC seems to be determined to do all they can to support crude oil prices, with their production having dropped further in December.
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13 January 2020 Fotios Katsoulas
Brazil’s crude oil production has remained strong since November, when it reached a new record high, according to the National Petroleum Agency....
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09 January 2020 Tomasz Brodzicki, Ph.D.
The current escalation of tensions with the US will adversely affect the Iranian economy and its trade relations and could destabilize the Middle...
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02 January 2020
World merchandise trade volume is forecasted to grow 2.7% in 2020, and to grow by 5.0% in 2021.
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09 December 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Brazil's crude oil production has continued to bounce back last month, with operations at the Mero Field having restarted.
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04 December 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Nigeria’s compliance has improved since August, production of crude stood close to 1.8 million b/d in October, much lower than the 1.96 million...
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03 December 2019 Byron McKinney
Shipping is a crucial component of trade finance and anything that impacts the regulatory or financial standing of a vessel, a vessels ownership...
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03 December 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
There are only days left till OPEC’s next meeting, with all eyes now on Russia’s response.
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02 December 2019
US imports from China in 2017 reached over 70.5 million tonnes and exceeded 75.2 million tonnes in 2018. We predict lower growth rates in 2019...
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15 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Colombia's state-controlled Ecopetrol plans to expand its production of crude oil in 2020, with a target to increase production by around 4%...
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14 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
South Sudan might start selling crude oil directly to its neighbours, after Ethiopia expressed its interest to buy oil from the country, in an...
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13 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Algerian crude oil loadings seem to have returned to normal levels, close to 600,000 b/d, in October. Activity has recovered, after falling in...
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12 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Russia’s crude oil production dropped to 11.23 million b/d in October from 11.25 million b/d in September. However, the country did not meet...
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11 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Iraq has been producing below its capacity of almost five million b/d, following the production cut agreement between OPEC and ten non-OPEC producers....
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08 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
There is no doubt that the construction of the 650,000 b/d Dangote refinery in Nigeria will be a landmark both for the oil industry in West Africa...
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07 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Pemex recently announced its results for September, with crude oil production having reached 1.731 million b/d, up 24,000 b/d since August, but...
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06 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
After the US oil boom, Canada, together with Brazil, is another country whose production will expand dramatically over the next decade.
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05 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Kuwait is understood to be considering a reduction in its oil production capacity targets. OPEC’s fourth biggest producer may reduce its long-standing...
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04 November 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Saudi Arabia has continued shipping crude oil to Japanese refiners without any major impact observed so far after the attacks on Saudi Arabian...
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31 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
US seaborne exports of crude oil will not surpass 3 million b/d in October, as preliminary data by IHS Markit Commodities at Sea has shown.
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31 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Chevron has been given permission by the US government to continue its operations in Venezuela for another quarter.
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30 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
South Korea's crude oil imports from the US have increased by 150% year-on-year, with flows averaging 350,000 b/d between January and mid-October...
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29 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Following an oil spill which affected more than 200 beaches across the country, state-run oil company, Petrobras, has been hit with another potential...
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28 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Trade flows from the US to India are expected to flourish further, especially as New Delhi is trying to reduce its reliance on OPEC suppliers...
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28 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Security continues being the biggest obstacle for Libya, one of Africa’s most significant oil producers. Lack of stability and the ongoing conflict...
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24 October 2019 Bill Mongelluzzo
Fueled by a dozen new plants and more capacity on the way, United States resin exports jumped 35 percent in the first half of the year as growing...
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24 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Russia’s production of crude oil did not exceed 11.25 million b/d in first half of October, according to official data released earlier this...
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23 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Angola has been facing some severe challenges in its effort to maintain crude oil production since the oil price collapse in 2014.
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22 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Ecuador's crude oil exports reached a new record low in October. Average volumes loaded on tankers since early October currently stand below...
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Crude Oil Trade: High transportation costs unsustainable, as inflated freight rates unlikely to last
15 October 2019 Rahul Kapoor Fotios Katsoulas
VLCC freight rates at USD 300,000 per day to carry crude oil from the Middle East to Asia aren’t sustainable for a prolonged period in our view....
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11 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
OPEC decided to raise the oil output ceiling for Nigeria to 1.774 million b/d, from 1.685 million b/d.
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08 October 2019 Byron McKinney
The latest edition to the US Department of the Treasury’s Executive Order 13846 on re-imposing sanctions with respect to Iran has led to several...
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07 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Chilean Supreme Court order to re-assess mining project signals legal uncertainties and likely delays for large-scale developments
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Crude Oil Trade: Changes in the suppliers’ market, while Indian imports marginally down in September
04 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Crude Oil Trade: Changes in the suppliers’ market, while Indian imports marginally down in September
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03 October 2019 Daejin Lee
Dry Bulk Trade: Record Brazil Corn Shipments a Warning Signal for Q4 US Grain Season
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03 October 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Crude Oil Trade: Russian production down, with seaborne exports unchanged in September
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Crude Oil Trade : COSCO tankers key to Chinese oil imports, US sanctions implication highly negative
01 October 2019 Rahul Kapoor Fotios Katsoulas
The dominant role played by tanker subsidiaries of COSCO Shipping Corporation in Chinese oil imports will have a ripple effect as buyers scramble...
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25 September 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Shipments of crude oil from Iraq have been increasing in September. Volumes currently surpass 3.7 million b/d, as shown by data from IHS Markit...
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24 September 2019 Byron McKinney
The Office of Foreign Asset Control (OFAC) has issued a fine of $4 million to the British Arab Commercial Bank (BACB) regarding violation of...
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23 September 2019 Daejin Lee
Indonesia will again ban exports of nickel ore, encouraging investors to build smelters at home to produce value-added products: Nickel prices...
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20 September 2019 Rahul Kapoor
Chinese iron ore imports are unlikely to show any signs of easing in the near-term with imports likely to stay elevated despite economic malaise...
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19 September 2019 Rahul Kapoor Daejin Lee
A sequential decline in August iron ore export volumes from Brazil is at odds with Capesize freight rates surging to a six-year high in recent...
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18 September 2019 Rahul Kapoor Fotios Katsoulas
Saturday’s drone attacks on Saudi Arabia’s critical oil production assets will drive up uncertainty in the global tanker industry given the region’s...
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16 September 2019 Rahul Kapoor Fotios Katsoulas
Drone attacks which damaged critical oil production assets in Saudi Arabia will alter global crude tradeflows. The country’s oil output is estimated...
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12 September 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
As China’s economic growth is expected to continue to slowdown, Russia has started focusing more on the Indian market. The two countries recently...
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11 September 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With OPEC increasing its output and exports in August, the big topic in the market has been what to expect as the cartel’s next meeting is approaching....
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10 September 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Venezuela's crude oil exports continued to fall in August, they have now estimated to have reached their lowest level in 2019.
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09 September 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Brazilian oil production increased last month and is now estimated to be approaching 2.8 million b/d. Growth has reached 8% year-on-year.
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06 September 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With the trade war between China and the US escalating and with tariffs now in effect, it comes as no real surprise that oil prices have been...
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05 September 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Oil prices have been under more pressure since early September, with OPEC expected to meet next week to discuss how prices could be supported....
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29 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
There is no doubt that Saudi Arabia is still determined to support oil prices, even if its production would have to be further cut. The country’s...
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28 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
European importers’ appetite for West African crude oil barrels seems to be quite strong lately. Nigeria's Egina, one of the newest oil grades...
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27 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Beijing has made it clear that its support to Caracas will last, after the recently announced expansion of Chinese investment in Venezuela’s...
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23 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Total volumes of crude oil liftings from Russia have been marginally down in July and August, as the decline reached 1.2% since June, however...
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22 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Saudi Aramco will take over a fifth of Reliance Industries’ refining business. It has become very clear that after strengthening its market in...
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21 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Algeria has failed to diversify away from oil and gas, which still represent 95% of total exports and around a third of GDP.
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20 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
The beginning of August wasn’t so positive for the Aframax segment, with rates having failed to recover, as earlier anticipated. The situation...
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19 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
In 2019 to date, suezmax vessels have proved rather sensitive to market volatility. In the European market, rates to move cargo from the Black...
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16 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Good news from Libya, as production has gradually restarted at El Sharara. This is the country’s largest oilfield, south of Zawiya port. Capacity...
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15 August 2019
OFAC recently announced its Reporting, Procedures and Penalties Regulations (RPPR) that outlined the recordkeeping and auditing functions for...
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15 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
China has been dominating with volumes of Angolan exports accounting for more than 60% so far this year. Flows to the Far Eastern country have...
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14 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With the country’s crude oil output under pressure, India has been increasingly dependent on imported barrels to meet domestic requirements....
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13 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
According to the Japanese Agency of Energy and Natural Resource (AENR), Japan imported around 27 million barrels of crude oil in June 2019 from...
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12 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With oil prices deepening fast, it has become clear that employment has been increasing in the VLCC market, even older units have secured voyages...
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09 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Brazil’s crude oil production has been under pressure lately, having dropped by around 6.5% during the last three months, after an impressive...
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08 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
It seems Kuwait has been very active in taking measures to improve conditions in favour of its oil industry, in an effort to strengthen its position...
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07 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
August didn’t start well for the West African crude oil producer. Nigeria Union of Petroleum and Natural Gas Workers (NUPENG), one of the country’s...
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06 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
It came as no surprise that Saudi Arabia’s oil revenue declined 5% year-on-year, as the OPEC+ production cut agreement has been shaping the country’s...
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05 August 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Sudanese crude oil lifting volumes have averaged 134 thousand b/d so far in 2019, with China absorbing more than 60% of these barrels.
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23 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Mexico has been liquifying some of its oil assets, but instead of deep-water blocks, it has mainly been oil fields closer to shore. This has...
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22 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
The Andean producer has been trying to recover after a tough 2018 driven by weaker oil production, volatility oil prices, security issues and...
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19 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
There is a lot of optimism to report from Brazil with oil companies getting ready to boost exports as the pre-salt production increases. International...
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18 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
According to data by IHS Markit’s Commodities at Sea, Venezuelan crude oil loadings in June were around 870 thousand b/d. This suggests that...
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17 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Last week, oil prices recovered significantly, primarily supported by the continued decline in US crude inventories. This suggests that the supply...
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15 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
July is a typically poor month for the VLCC segment, with activity slowing down across all major exporting regions. There has been limited optimism...
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15 July 2019
The recent announcement from FedEx that the multinational cargo carrier has filed a lawsuit against the US Department of Commerce is the latest...
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09 July 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
South Korea’s appetite for sweet crude oil grades has been strengthening since late 2018, with the Far Eastern importer favouring imports from...
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05 July 2019 Daejin Lee
IHS Markit freight forecast models, released yesterday, predict dry bulk freight rates to strengthen in the second half, as more aggressive stimulus...
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28 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Mexican crude oil production has been under severe pressure, with volumes down so far this year.
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20 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
The North African producer seems to have recovered well, even with increasing concerns around the impact of the ongoing civil conflict. Libya’s...
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18 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Spot rates in the Middle East Gulf have increased dynamically on Thursday and Friday after two tankers were attacked in the Gulf of Oman. Concerns...
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12 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
The Angolan government, led by President Joao Lourenco, has made significant steps to support the future crude production of the country, which...
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11 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
China’s crude oil imports from Iran increased dynamically in April, before the end of the sanction waivers pushed volumes to decline sharply...
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10 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With Iran having already expressed its opposition to OPEC for any delay of the cartel’s next meeting, another fight between members might not...
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07 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
The US sanctions on Iran gave a great opportunity to Iraq, which shortly after increased its target for crude oil production to 6.2 million b/d...
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06 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
In parallel to the trade war between Washington and Beijing, the global oil market will likely need to adjust once again, as President Trump...
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05 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
A sharp decline was observed in late May, with Brent standing above USD 63.6 per barrel on 3 June, noon (UK time). The market seems worried about...
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04 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
West African loadings seem to have increased by 4.6% month-on-month in May, but this wasn’t enough to support Suezmax earnings in the region...
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03 June 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
There has been some recovery lately for Aframaxes in the Mediterranean, after the pressure felt last month due to the plethora of vessels available...
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31 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Apart from Lula, Chinese buyers seem to be increasingly interested in another Brazilian grade, Buzios. Petrobras expects this new medium sweet...
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30 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Russia’s seaborne exports seem to have started to decline, even if the change is only marginal. Loadings during the first three weeks of May...
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29 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Since early May, all US waivers on Iranian barrels came to an end, but the big question is whether and how many Iranian barrels reach their destination...
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28 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Market conditions continue to change lately, with sentiment adjusting to recent news. Oil prices have been falling during the last couple of...
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28 May 2019
There has been a flurry of sanctions related penalties issued by US authorities in April and May 2019, continuing the overall theme so far of...
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22 May 2019
The Office of Foreign Asset Control (OFAC) has for the first time issued guidelines on what it believes constitutes a robust compliance program...
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16 May 2019
China’s total seaborne imports of all types of coal appear to have increased in May, from the level of April. Australian cargoes also appear...
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14 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With around six weeks left until the next meeting of OPEC+ countries, Russia doesn’t appear to be reducing its output and exports.
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13 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
In parallel to uncertainty increasing after saboteurs attacked Saudi Arabian oil tankers amid Middle East tensions between the US and Iran, the...
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09 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With the freight market going through a quiet period, it came as no surprise that there has been no significant change in the freight market...
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08 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Recent data by IHS Markit’s Commodities at Sea suggests the US has started increasing its imports from exporters across Americas and West Africa....
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01 May 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
April was a difficult month for VLCC owners, with freight rates in the Middle East Gulf still feeling the pressure of OPEC production cuts.
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30 April 2019
Post-Brexit, the UK has to provide funding for farmers and rural communities development to replace the EU funding of 26 billion EUR.
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30 April 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With Iranian sanction waivers coming to an end, oil traders must adjust quickly to the new market conditions. There is still optimism that at...
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29 April 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
With tonnage increasing east of Suez, rates for Aframaxes were pushed lower on Easter Monday, as charterers had more choices available.
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26 April 2019 Fotios Katsoulas
Waivers from US sanctions on Iranian barrels will expire on May 2, as scheduled.
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26 April 2019
The US is turning to the EU to find ways to decrease the trade deficit that reached close to 890 billion USD in 2018, the largest in over 20...
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