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Persistent high inflation and monetary tightening have
underscored a challenging global economic path ahead. The prospects
of maintaining economic growth and waiting for inflation to subside
without further hawkish action from central banks have come into
question. Markets have responded with larger movements than have
been seen in recent years. Major equity indexes have fallen into
bear market territory, down over 20% from recent highs, while bonds
have seemingly lost some of their diversification benefit in a
stock-bond mix.
In Singapore, the economy is expected to grow by 3.8% in 2022,
down from the forecast of 4.0%, according to a recent survey by the
Monetary Authority of Singapore. 1 Meanwhile, the Straits Times
Index sank 4.0% in June and was down 10% from its 52-week high. Not
far behind in negative performance was the iBoxx Singapore Dollar
(SGD) Overall Index, which fell 1.63% this month and has dropped
6.87% YTD.
All rating subindices fell into red, with the worst performance
coming from sectors rated A and above. While losses were observed
across the maturity buckets, the sharpest declines were seen in the
mid-to-long end of the curve.
The sovereign and non-sovereign subindices suffered losses over
1% this month. The top performers were short-dated corporate bonds
from Consumer Goods, Financial Services and Real Estate sectors. In
contrast, the worst performers were long-dated bonds issued by the
Singapore government or one of Singapore's statutory boards.
The overall index ended the month with a yield of 3.23% and a
duration of 6.57 years.
July 2022 Rebalance
This rebalance, SGD 2.96 billion of new notional was inserted
into the iBoxx SGD Overall via six bonds.
Concurrently, four bonds left the index, removing about SGD 600
million of notional. All departing bonds left the index due to
their expected remaining lives falling below one year.
Additionally, there was no bond rating change in the index this
month.
Please refer to the Appendix in the full commentary for rating
changes observed at the July rebalance.
Posted 15 July 2022 by Wilson Mak, Analyst - Indices, S&P Dow Jones Indices
IHS Markit provides industry-leading data, software and technology platforms and managed services to tackle some of the most difficult challenges in financial markets. We help our customers better understand complicated markets, reduce risk, operate more efficiently and comply with financial regulation.
This article was published by S&P Global Market Intelligence and not by S&P Global Ratings, which is a separately managed division of S&P Global.
