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The Andean producer has been trying to recover after a tough
2018 driven by weaker oil production, volatility oil prices,
security issues and lack of investment. The highest level of
production since mid-2016 had been reached back in November 2018
when Colombia's output surpassed 880 thousand b/d. This was still
roughly 15% below levels last produced before the oil price
collapse in August 2014. The country's crude oil liftings have
grown by around 12% in H1 2019, year-on-year. However, they have
declined by about 10% compared to H2 2018. The South American
exporter's international shipments of crude oil reached 480
thousand b/d on average during H1 2019, with the country still
trying to recover.
Drilling operations for oil and gas seem to have picked up in
Colombia, with a growth of 5% in June as confidence rebounds again
amongst operators. According to data made available by the local
industry chamber, Campertrol, 141 rigs were active last month,
which was higher than the 134 rigs in May, as well as the 126 rigs
in June of 2018. This is considered a good sign, suggesting that
the country's recovery will last. In early Q2, Colombia's
President, Iván Duque, set the target for production to reach 900
thousand b/d by the end of this year. The idea is that higher
output could support the local economy by delivering an additional
three trillion pesos (around 950 million USD).
This year will be the first since 2014 with licensing rounds.
Hocol, part of the state-owned oil company Ecopetrol, signed four
contracts earlier in July for oil exploration. According to the
company, the projects will require investments of around 100
million USD. Together with Chile-based GeoPark, the company plans
to develop the Llanos 86, Llanos 87 and Llanos 104 oilfields,
investing between 80 - 100 million USD by 2022 to drill six wells.
An additional 16 million USD will be required for the COR 9 block
in south-eastern Colombia that it will operate on its own.
Colombia's crude reserves went up 10% last year to 1.96 billion
barrels, around 6.2 years of output, with the government wishing to
increase reserves to at least 10 years equivalent. In late 2018,
oil reserves stood at 1.8 billion barrels which were about 36%
lower than a decade earlier.
China seems to be interested in Colombia's grades with flows to
the country having averaged almost 120 thousand b/d so far this
year, up around 33% year-on-year. USA continues to be the biggest
importer of Colombian crude oil, with 220 thousand b/d shipped
during the first six months of 2019, according to IHS
Markit's Commodities at Sea.
Posted 22 July 2019 by Fotios Katsoulas, Liquid Bulk Principal Analyst, Maritime, Trade & Supply Chain, S&P Global Market Intelligence
