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The first fully autonomous vehicles to be able to travel on
public roads will not be ready until 2030, according to
Continental's head of self-driving division Andree Hohm, according
to an Automotive News Europe (ANE) interview. Some of the
early forecasts for the adoption of complete autonomous driving
technology have been proven to be overly optimistic. One of the
reasons for this is the concern over the level of technology
required to stop a vehicle safely at high speeds in the event of a
malfunction. Hohm said, ""People always ask me when driverless
vehicles will be on the road' and I tell them the answer is
'today.' If you have a very specific application area, for example
like a private road, and want to travel at low velocity, you can
buy such a vehicle."
Significance: Continental's Hohm is convinced
that the early applications of fully autonomous (Level 5) driving
technology will be reserved for low-speed applications such as
robotaxis in urban settings. While urban environments may prevent
more complex demands on autonomous driving sensor arrays and
computing power, they also offer the advantage of providing more
opportunities for a fix to be implemented quickly in the event of a
system failure or sensor errors. Hohm also added that autonomous
driving has three hurdles to overcome before it becomes viable for
widespread use: technology, regulatory approval, and consumer
acceptance.
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