Global investors rotate to defensive postures
Global stocks have outperformed other major asset classes, posting attractive gains in the first half of the year, especially driven by technology stocks. However, investors are not consumed with euphoria as they rotate to a more defensive posturing across many regional markets. Some high flyers have given up gains as central bankers take on a more hawkish tone, oil entered a bear market and technology shares lost some momentum.
- US: Industry Relative Leading 4QTRs EPS to Price outperformed while Rational Decay Alpha lagged on a more defensive investor posturing
- Developed Europe: Investors favored positive analyst outlook captured by 2-Year Ahead EPS Growth
- Developed Pacific: As the sole exception among our coverage regions, developed Pacific markets outside Japan highly rewarded price momentum, an indication of risk-on trades
- Emerging markets: High quality stocks continued to outperform, gauged by measures such as Fixed Assets Turnover, Industry Relative TTM Dividend Yield and Real Earnings Surprise
- Most shorted ahead of earnings: Carbo Ceramics, Euronav and Monotaro
- Taiwan’s strong export orders point to further upturn in trade
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- China economic growth at a resilient 6.9% in 2017
- Asia auto sector booms but suffers tighter profit margins