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Stronger exports in Taiwan help drive manufacturing growth to two-year high

03 October 2016 Bernard Aw

Faster growth in Taiwanese manufacturing activity indicates that momentum in the economy has picked up during the third quarter. Increasing order book inflows was a highlight in September, with rising export demand a key driver of growth.

With Taiwan's economy dominated by trade and manufacturing, the survey data suggest that gross domestic product will have continued to expand after the 0.7% growth seen in the second quarter.

Nikkei PMI vs GDP

Rising export orders

Strengthening demand

Up from 51.8 in August to 52.2, the Nikkei Taiwan Manufacturing PMI rose for the fourth successive month in September. The latest index reading was highest in two years.

Production volumes increased modestly for a fourth consecutive month. The upturn reflected signs of greater client demand.

A stabilising Chinese manufacturing sector and stronger tech sector demand contributed to improved sales. New orders expanded at the fastest pace since February 2015, supported by brisk growth in new export business. Foreign new orders showed the largest rise for two years.

Renewed optimism about the year ahead also bodes well for the business outlook. The rate of employment growth consequently remained strong, despite slowing from August's two-year peak.

Rising prices squeeze firms' margins

The continued rise in prices of raw materials has meanwhile raised firms' cost burdens. Although some companies attempted to pass on increased costs to customers, limited pricing power meant that most had little choice but to absorb greater input prices. The increase in output charges was only slight as a result.

The concern is that the lack of pricing power may pressure the profitability of Taiwanese manufacturers, which would make them reluctant to expand their workforce numbers.

Rising input prices

Sources: IHS Markit, Nikkei, Datastream.

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Bernard Aw, Principal Economist, IHS Markit
Tel: +65 6922 4226



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