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Oil & Gas Upstream Economics

Business Environment Consulting

Understand market factors and outlooks, and manage hydrocarbon risk down to the asset level

With the energy industry in transition, participants need to get a deeper understanding of the oil and gas markets to help guide their decisions. It is imperative for E&P businesses to have a firm grasp of the key value and risk drivers affecting the sector, ranging from market fundamentals, macroeconomics and geopolitics to country and individual asset-level risks. We provide clients with a comprehensive, structured framework for evaluating potential investments and assessing their strategy, drawing on our industry expertise and access to data and technical/commercial analyses.

IHS Markit upstream oil and gas consultants help clients to understand the markets and business environments and to manage hydrocarbon sector risk by delivering tailored solutions on subjects such as:

  • Oil & gas markets: Market fundamentals and trends, regional and global supply and demand balances, market intelligence (e.g., M&A, exploration, costs), production/OPEX/CAPEX forecasts and scenario development
  • Sectors: Supplier equipment and services market sizing and competitive assessments
  • Risks: Above-ground risk analysis and mitigation at the country, project and asset levels

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Experts

Reed Olmstead

Mr. Olmstead focuses on the drivers and inhibitors to unconventional production in the most important existing and incubating plays in North America. He has been involved in various capacities of asset and operator analysis in North American research for more than eight years. Recently, he has focused on the financial constraints to production and the implications for future supply as the industry wrestles to identify its role in global production. Prior to joining IHS Markit, he served in the strategy and finance department of a US independent producer. Mr. Olmstead holds a degree in mechanical engineering from Baylor University, United States, and an MBA from Rice University, United States.

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Michael Marinovic

Mr. Marinovic, Vice President, leads IHS Markit's E&P Terms and Above-Ground Risk team, which provides clients with information, analysis and insights on above-ground considerations affecting the attractiveness of Upstream investments around the world. Before that he led Upstream consulting teams responsible for development of corporate and asset strategies, as well as supporting governments in assessing competitiveness of their investment terms improving their investment terms. Mr. Marinovic's previous experience includes being a Partner in the Oil & Gas Practice of Strategic Decisions Group (SDG) and performing both technical and operating roles at Exxon Chemical Company. Mr. Marinovic holds a Bachelor of Science and Master of Engineering in Chemical Engineering from Cornell University and an MBA from Stanford University.

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Nick Lowes

He focuses on solving complex customer challenges by combining IHS Markit data, research and analytical capabilities to create high value solutions, which can be embedded in customer workflows. He has over 30 years of experience across a broad range of oil and gas company activities, working as an advisor to many national and international oil and gas companies and governments on issues ranging from national energy policy to E&P strategy development. His high value consulting assignments for global clients include investment and technology strategies, market analysis, project development plans and operational improvements. He has led reorganization and process re-engineering exercises, and has designed and implemented corporate-level and project-level management systems. He has worked with companies in the Middle East, Africa, Europe, Russia, Central and East Asia and South America. Mr. Lowes was formerly a principal with Strategic Decision Group's oil and gas practice prior to its acquisition by IHS Markit. Previously, he was a senior manager with the management consulting firm Arthur D Little Ltd., and spent 15 years in engineering and project management for major oil and gas projects where he held positions with both operators and engineering companies in UK, Australia, Malaysia and Oman. Mr. Lowes holds a Bachelor of Arts in Engineering Sciences from Cambridge University and a Master of Science in Engineering Geology from Imperial College, London University, both UK. He completed his MBA with the UK Open University Business School and he is a Member of the UK Energy Institute.

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Irena Agalliu

Ms. Irena Agalliu is an expert in international energy law and economics, worldwide fiscal arrangements, commercial risk and aboveground risk investment-related issues. She has extensive experience assessing commercial and regulatory risk and advising governments and NOCs on regulatory and contractual developments that impact E&P activities worldwide and assisting governments in formulating policies.Irena's major projects include assistance to the government of Mexico in development of industrial safety regulations for upstream oil and gas activities; assistance to the government of Colombia in development of offshore regulations, as well as development of fiscal and contractual framework for shale gas, tight oil and CBM; assistance to the legislature of North Dakota regarding fiscal policy solutions to enable CO2 EOR projects in the Bakken; assistance to the government of Angola on development of E&P regulations, LNG taxation and gas market regulations; and comparative analysis of fiscal systems for the United States Department of the Interior.Ms Agalliu has provided independent expert review of proposed legislation governing petroleum upstream, midstream and downstream activities, revenue management in oil and gas, as well as local content participation, before legislatures of several African nations. Ms. Irena Agalliu holds an LLM with distinction in Petroleum Law Policy and Economics from the University of Dundee, Scotland and a doctorate of jurisprudence from the University of Houston Law Center. She is a member of the State Bar of Texas and Association of International Petroleum Negotiators (AIPN). Ms Agalliu was elected to the Board of AIPN in 2008 and served as vice president of external affairs for the 2009-2011 term and vice president of planning for the 2011-2012 term. She is the co-chair of the AIPN Oil and Gas Asset Valuation Workshop.

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Ryan Carbrey

Mr. Carbrey provides consulting expertise in chemicals, proppants and oil field services, and he plays a leading role in M&A target identification, private equity due diligence and strategy. He joined IHS, now IHS Markit, through the acquisition of PacWest in 2014. He continues to oversee the legacy PacWest market intelligence practice focusing on hydraulic fracturing, chemical and proppant markets, which includes publication of Pumping IQ, FracDB, WellIQ and ChemIQ products. With more than 10 years of data analysis and strategic consulting experience, he has worked primarily with upstream oil and gas clients, oil field services companies, equipment manufacturers and financial institutions. Previously he held consulting roles with several energy companies where he developed innovative strategies and led business transformation initiatives. He supported strategic growth while employed by Cheniere Energy and LeTourneau (now part of Cameron International). As an entrepreneur, he also built and sold his own data analytics firm that he started as his undergraduate career. He completed a Bachelor of Science, Economics at Texas A&M University, US, and earned his MBA at Rice University, Jones Graduate School of Business, US.

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Ricardo Bedregal, Ph.D.

Dr. Bedregal has extensive technical, commercial, and business development experience in projects for the oil and gas exploration and production (E&P) industry. His expertise in structuring sizable projects encompasses experience in petroleum geology, business environment and assessing opportunities in South America, West and Southern Africa, Oman and Australia. Prior to joining IHS Markit, he held several managerial and technical roles at Petrobras, Brazilian Petroleum National Agency, PGT, Vale Oil & Gas and other companies.An experienced oil and gas geologist, Dr. Bedregal holds two masters degrees in Geology, a Ph.D. in Quantitative Basin Analysis from the Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, and an MBA from the Dom Cabral Foundation.

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Industry Success Stories

Creating a multi-year market intelligence program for a National Oil Company

A major Middle Eastern NOC needed help with understanding market conditions for executing its project portfolio. IHS Markit experts analyzed 8,000+ projects and interviewed 150+ EPC companies to determine project feasibility. The NOC implemented our risk mitigation recommendations to achieve project success and continues to use IHS Markit services for monthly, quarterly and annual updates.

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Determining global market potential for a production processing equipment company

A production processing equipment company wanted to quantify the relative value and growth of national markets for its products. IHS Markit provided a five-year process equipment CAPEX forecast for 33 countries with total spend segmented by five equipment categories, hydrocarbon field type and location – providing valuable insights for the company’s marketing strategy.

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Egypt energy sector intelligence

A Middle Eastern NOC wanted a holistic view of Egypt’s energy supply-demand outlook to 2030. IHS Markit identified key drivers influencing the country’s hydrocarbon, coal, gas, renewable energy and nuclear power sectors. The NOC received a complete report on Egypt’s energy demand/mix forecast to 2030, including analysis of macroeconomics, E&P/midstream segments and energy policy.

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Impact analysis of oil prices on an equipment manufacturer’s entire value chain

An oil and gas equipment provider needed to understand how continued low oil prices might impact customer spending on equipment—upstream to downstream and globally – to 2020. IHS Markit developed three price scenarios, each with related five-year CAPEX outlooks. The client used the spending outlook to build its multi-year operating plan and budget.

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Above-ground risk assessment in a South American country for a potential asset acquisition

An Asian NOC wanted to evaluate operational risk for a potential oilfield acquisition in South America. IHS Markit provided a detailed report on the target country’s operating environment under three possible political-economic scenarios, ranking key risks and risk mitigation strategies. The client gained a clear view of and management strategies for potential risks to its operations.

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Expanding a client’s footprint in Brazil’s market to increase penetration

A client wanted to increase its presence in Brazil to offset its flat and sometimes negative growth. IHS Markit prepared a complete overview of Brazil’s offshore upstream sector to 2030, identifying three market expansion strategies and revenue projections for each, enabling the client to make an informed decision for its expansion in Brazil.

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