IHS Markit future scenarios are high-level summaries of pathways, including elucidation of drivers, assumptions and triggers, "timelines" of significant events and summaries of end states and proximate challenges.
IHS Markit futures:
- Allow analysts to get beyond existing analytical filters
- Describe possible futures of varying probabilities
- Reflect a range of types of futures
- Describe distinct, separate end states and pathways
IHS Markit possesses deep, proven alternative futures analysis expertise – including training defense, intelligence and technology communities throughout the world on alternative analysis – and applies robust methodologies to ensure credible, reliable analysis that drives novel and potentially counterintuitive insight.
IHS Markit analysts:
- Solicit multiple perspectives
- Incorporate internal collaborative mechanisms
- Leverage experienced scenario planners, strategists, geopolitical, defense and security experts
IHS Markit will leverage methodological rigor, internal and networked expertise and research, data and graphics to create a series of scenarios examining the future of the linked conflicts in Iraq and Syria out to approximately five years, as well as analysis of what these scenarios mean and imply for national security, defense and intelligence planners in the region and beyond.
- Assesses drivers of future scenarios
- Explores alternative pathways of what these futures could look like
- Establishes a list of key issues to be addressed by policy-makers and intelligence officers
- Considers novel problems and issues that could emerge in and across these scenarios
- Analyzes critical uncertainties that would drive futures along dramatically different trajectories
- Identifies signposts / indicators as to whether a scenario is more or less likely to occur