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Strategic Report - Light Linear Alpha Olefin Market Study

Strategic Report - Light Linear Alpha Olefin Market Study

A comprehensive examination of the light Linear Alpha Olefins (LAO) market for Butene-1, Hexene-1 and Octene-1 globally and by major regions. This report covers LAO demand segmentation by application and carbon group and discusses the upstream and downstream integration of various competitors, potential impacts of polymer inter-competition in butene-1, hexene-1 and octene-1 grades, and potential impacts of emerging technology. In this report, we evaluate on-purpose capacity requirement for the lower LAO to supplement the volumes provided by full range plants.

  • What are the underlying drivers in end-use applications along relevant value chains?
  • What are the upstream and downstream integration of various competitors in the global alpha olefin business including CP Chem, Ineos, SABIC, Sasol and Shell, etc.?
  • What is the potential impact of polymer inter-competition in Butene-1, Hexene-1 and Octene-1 grades and the impact of emerging technology?
  • What is the likely growth in solution LLDPE versus gas phase technology as these impact both comonomer selection and the quantity consumed?
  • What is the potential impact of growth for plastomers and like materials on octene-1 demand?
  • How much on-purpose capacity will be needed for the lower Linear Alpha Olefins to supplement the volumes provided by full range plants?
  • What are typical pricing bases and types of formulas used for Butene-1, Hexene-1 and Octene-1?
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Experts

Mark Wegenka

He has over 40 years of chemical industry experience. He consults for individual clients in the Fertilizer, Olefins and Alpha-olefins segments. He has contributed to several multiclient studies, including the Light Linear Alpha Olefin and Ammonia/Urea special reports, The Crude Oil Turmoil study, and the chemical feedstocks segments of the recent "Reinventing the Wheel," study, and the earlier study of "Americas New Energy Future." Prior to joining the company in 2008, he served a distinguished 33-year career with Dow. For more than a decade he worked as a senior financial manager for Houston-based Dow Hydrocarbons and Energy, Inc., where he performed global business analysis for the ethylene, propylene, butadiene and alpha olefins segments. He conducted strategic analysis, business financial plans, and economic studies to support global business strategies and contract negotiations. As a certified Six Sigma Green Belt, he also served as a financial representative for over 200 Six Sigma projects. Additionally, he functioned as the primary hydrocarbons and energy business contact with outside consultants. Mr. Wegenka's tenure was primarily in Dow's agricultural sector, where he worked as an economic planner, performing merger and acquisition analyses, sourcing and capital authorization economic studies and business operations support. He was also responsible for global agricultural multiclient market research and the economic evaluation of all new products. He holds a Bachelor of Science in Mechanical Engineering from Indiana Institute of Technology, Fort Wayne, Indiana, US, and a Master of Industrial Management from Central Michigan University, Mount Pleasant, Michigan, US.

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Bill Hyde

Mr. Hyde has been consulting in the C4 Olefins and Elastomers and related markets since 2002. He regularly provides commentary and analysis to the monthly report Global C4 Olefins & Elastomers, as well as the World Butadiene Analysis, the World Butylenes Analysis, the World Synthetic Rubber Analysis, and the World MTBE Analysis, annual chemicals studies produced by IHS Markit. He also supports a wide variety of other IHS Markit single client and multiclient products. He has published a number of papers on the Olefins and Elastomers industries as well being a sought after presenter at related conferences around the world. An industry veteran of nearly 30 years, Mr. Hyde began his career with Union Carbide Corporation in 1990 where he had various positions including engineering, optimization, planning and logistics. He later joined Texas Petrochemicals as a Business Analyst. Mr. Hyde's university degrees include Bachelor of Science and Master of Science degrees in Chemical Engineering from Brigham Young University, Provo, Utah, US, and an MBA from Tulane University - New Orleans, US.​

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Robin Waters

Mr. Waters brings more than three decades of industry experience to his role as Director of plastics planning and analysis. His responsibilities at IHS Markit cover polyethylene and polypropylene, including support for both market advisory services as well as single client projects and studies related to polyolefins. He served as project lead for "Plastics Pathway to Sustainability", the multiclient study on plastics sustainability issued in November 2018 and is project lead for "Changing Course: Plastics, carbon and the transition to circularity" an expanded multi-client study on plastics sustainability to be issues in 2020. Mr. Waters joined IHS Markit in 2012 as Director of Polyolefins-North America. Previously, he was with LyondellBasell in commercial mamagement roles in polyethylene and polypropylene for 15 years, including new business startups and third-party marketing agreements, regional sales management, strategic planning and contract management. He began his career at DuPont, initially as a business analyst for supporting the global elastomers business followed by technical, sales and business management assignments for a variety of films and resins in packaging markets. Mr. Waters holds a Bachelor of Science in chemistry from the University of Georgia and an MBA from the University of Miami, both in the United States.

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Mark Morgan, Ph.D.

Dr. Morgan has dedicated more than two decades to consulting in specialty chemicals, process technology and industrial biotechnology. In addition, to chemicals consulting, he supports work in other IHS Markit business units where chemicals and materials are involved, in particular Aerospace, Defence and Security (AD&S). In 2011, he joined Chemical Market Associates, Inc. (CMAI) to lead its global activities in renewables. Previously, he was with Chem Systems, a leading boutique consulting firm serving chemicals and allied industries. His work covered lenders advisory work, M&A due diligence, project feasibility, technology validation and valuation, legal work and more. Following service in the army, he began has chemicals career with BP undertaking blue sky research as well as plant support, together with taking new ideas from concept to commercialization. Dr. Morgan earned his doctorate in chemical physics at the University of Bristol, United Kingdom.He leads consulting projects in all regions in specialty chemicals, biotechnology, renewables and advanced materials. He has strong experience across multiple specialty chemical value chains; linear alpha olefins, detergent alcohols, surfactants, nutraceuticals, the C4 chain, the C5 chain, specialty aromatics, biodegradable polymers, bio-based building blocks, engineering polymers, higher performance materials, carbon fibre, construction chemicals, food/feed additives, valorizing cracker by-product streams, etc. Mark has also undertaken lenders advisory work - commercial and technical for small and large capital projects, as well as supporting due diligence processes in M&A transactions, venture capital, etc.

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