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Economics & Country RiskCountry Intelligence

Sovereign Risk Solutions

Assess and compare sovereign risk over the short and medium term

Whether you are in banking, insurance, portfolio management, or a company engaged in cross-border trade, our Sovereign Risk solution enables you to compare and assess credit risks and non-payments risk for 206 economies.

Our comprehensive service provides a robust analysis of our own independent risk scores, commentary on the ratings of the ratings agencies of record, as well as a consensus score. Access to our team of risk experts as well as Headline Analysis articles allows you to stay ahead of emerging risks in an unparalleled list of geographies with financial exposures down the entire timeline. Our unique short-term sovereign credit risk assessments are tailored for risks to trade finance and cross-border money market lines; while our medium-term risk assessment assesses longer-term financial risk to exposures like project finance and direct equity investments.   

Our sovereign risk solution helps you to:

  • Anticipate emerging credit risks
  • Establish and update exposure limits
  • Assess changing credit risks down the entire timeline from short- to medium-to-long term
  • Conduct financial investment due diligence from an independent, objective source
Sovereign Risk Assessment for Turkey Detailed medium-term analysis
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Visualize and analyze risk score changes to assess stability and creditworthiness

What's Included

Data and Analysis

Debt Statistics & Financial Ratio Data
Based on the latest data releases and solid economic forecasts, our sovereign risk solution provides excel spreadsheets with detailed balance sheet and debt figures for 206 economies, including external liquidity and solvency ratios from 1999 to the present and a five-year forecast. Our financial risk metrics are derived from this detailed forecast of each economy's external finances, relevant domestic finances, and key macroeconomic growth indicators.

Sovereign Risk Table
Calculations of each economy's creditworthiness, based on financial, economic, and political attributes are numerical scores on a zero-to-100 scale corresponding to the probability of default. Our short-term (1 year) scores focus more on liquidity criteria, where the medium-term (5 year) scores also take into account solvency ratios as well as qualitative political, economic, and governance impacts.

Sovereign Risk Report
Detailed reports present all the key liquidity and solvency ratios for each of the 206 economies we score.

Sovereign Risk Scores
Short (1-year) - and medium-term (5-year) risk scores for each economy. These are updated on a quarterly basis using our latest economic forecast data, which makes it possible to capture emerging risks or positive inflection points on a timely basis.

Peer Group Rankings
Tool to rank economies by sovereign risk within specific peer groups

Comparative Scores Presentation
Our scores are presented vs. those of three major credit rating agencies, culminating in a "consensus score" for short- and medium-term horizons

Headline Analysis
Daily coverage of key financial risk events that impact an economy's sovereign debt situation (trade, debt data) is also provided, along with systematic coverage of the major credit rating agencies ratings changes with detailed comparison to our scores.

Methodology
  • The sovereign risk scores are generated in a systematic and consistent manner using a comprehensive and transparent analytical model based on the actual experiences of global lending institutions
  • The risk scores are numeric scores on a zero-to-100 scale corresponding to the probability of default.

  • The sovereign default risk scores are based on a detailed assessment of each economy's key liquidity and solvency ratios.

  • Financial risk metrics are derived from our extensive dataset containing highly detailed information on each economy’s external finances, relevant domestic finances, and key macroeconomic indicators.
  • In the short-term analytical model, liquidity risk metrics play the dominant role, whereas in the medium-term model the assessment also takes into account solvency ratios and qualitative attributes, such as each economy’s economic and political structures and policy performance.
  • The macroeconomic inputs and assumptions are taken directly from our quarterly databanks and macroeconomic forecasts for 206 economies.
Delivery platforms

Connect: Maximize your subscription with Connect  – our state-of-the-art business intelligence platform that gives you 24/7 access to your solutions

  • Headline analysis articles covering all sovereign rating changes made by IHS Markit and the three major ratings agencies, as well as major policy changes impacting creditworthiness on a daily basis
  • Risk and ratings table and map for comparison of ratings over time and across all 206 economies
  • Full and transparent access to detailed scoring allows for a deeper understanding of fundamentals impacting creditworthiness (debt load, interested payments)
  • Detailed reports for all 206 economies describe fundamentals behind sovereign risk scores
  • A unique, quarterly sovereign risk review that assesses trends and prospects covering all sovereign score upgrades and downgrades globally
  • Download forecast and historical data behind the ratings and create customizable, refreshable spreadsheets with our Data Browser 
REST API: Recieve data continuously and reliably directly into your workflow.
  • Representational State Transfer Application Programming (REST) API makes data available via URL addresses (or ‘endpoints’)
  • Provides a foundation on which to build databases, charts, websites, visualizations, and CSV files, plus facilities to query and look up specific data
  • Offers the simplest approach to application integration:
    • Access to the API is instantaneous
    • Provides an interactive web environment for developers to explore API features and review technical documentation
    • Developers can test the API calls interactively in a browser
  • 24/7 monitoring and support is provided
  • Scales horizontally for both datasets and clients, ensuring it can meet present and future demand
  • Built for consistent speed, with carefully selected technologies to ensure the best possible performance
IDDS: Tailored data feeds featuring continuous updating and seamless delivery.
  • Internet Data Delivery System (IDDS) delivers fixed data updates in CSV or XML format to the IHS Markit web servers in real-time
  • Metadata includes economic concept, geography, source, and frequency
  • Updates pull in data changes only, optimizing load speed
  • Data updates can be scheduled 
 
Member Privileges

Analyst Access
On-demand access to our team of sovereign risk experts

Country Risk Webcasts
Webcasts on key events and trends, with Q&A delivered by leading experts

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