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Benchmarking, Pricing and Aggregation, and Scenario Analysis


Improve your understanding and modeling of country and economic risk across countries and sectors with the support of our country risk consulting team

Benchmarking

Understand relative risk utilizing our risk scores.

Integrate our country risk scores into existing risk models, to set ‘traffic light’ systems for Go/No Go decisions.

We can supplement our 27 perils with our subject-matter and methodology experts to develop a bespoke score index for you. Previous projects have covered:

  • Sector-specific scores
  • City-level scores
  • Reputational risk scores

Pricing and Aggregation

Incorporate the influence and impact of country risk and make more effective and efficient pricing and aggregation (limits) decisions.

Combining our country risk data, macroeconomics and industry metrics, we can help you more precisely price in risk and more efficiently allocate investment limits without creating an over-complicated process.

Our Country Risk Evaluation & Simulation Tools (CREST) allow us to quantify in financial terms the country risk impact on cash flow of a specific project or industry.

We have developed a blended approach to statistical forecasting, which incorporates data and trend analysis as well as qualitative expert judgement to account for lacking data. This allows us to produce inputs for probabilistic modeling exercises for country risk datasets.


Scenario analysis

Explore possible futures to model impact, feed stress-testing exercises and improve contagion regions.

Our Scenarios draw on our strong quantitative and qualitative expertise in risk forecasting and are grounded in the deep knowledge and insight of local dynamics from our regional teams and source network. The IHS The IHS Markit difference:

  • Scenario selection driven by your specific requirements
  • Detailed and visualized scenario evolution
  • Quantified scenario impacts
  • Indicators and pathways to enable monitoring of increasing/decreasing probability

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