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Reinventing the Wheel: Mobility and Energy Future Service

The mobility sector will undergo more change in coming years than it has in the past century. The pace of change is the question—not whether change occurs. Are you prepared?

Will change be of a revolutionary nature, topple incumbents in the automotive and energy industries, and dramatically reshape the mobility and energy sector? Or will it be gradual and offer opportunities for companies—incumbents and new entrants—to adapt to changing technology, government policies, business models, and consumer behavior?

Reinventing the Wheel (RTW): Mobility and Energy Future is a new IHS Markit service providing insight, analysis, and data to keep members ahead of the curve in understanding how regulations, technology, new business models, and consumers are impacting oil, energy demand, and the automotive industry plus its supply chain.

Trillions of dollars of investment capital are at stake. RTW: Mobility and Energy Future delivers research that addresses the latest developments and insights while also providing a scenario framework for decision-making.

The Big Questions

Among the big questions addressed by RTW: Mobility and Energy Future are:

  • How will electric cars and fuel economy standards impact oil demand?
  • Is a peak in oil demand near—or still decades away?
  • Will developments in driverless technology disrupt car sales and energy use faster than many think?
  • How will ride-hailing alter car use and car buying trends?
  • How will government policies at the national and local levels evolve and shape the future of electric cars and mobility service companies? How will congestion, pollution, industrial policy, and economic security influence these policies?
  • Will the scale of battery supply chains increase in time to satisfy projected EV sales?
  • What are companies doing to position themselves to succeed in the automotive system of the future?

About this service

The Reinventing the Wheel (RTW) Mobility and Energy Future Service brings together the Automotive Planning Scenarios Service with the groundbreaking 2017 Reinventing the Wheel multi-client study. This new offering provides insight on the future of cars and the oil, automotive, chemicals, and power industries. The goal of this service is to help clients effectively develop long-term business strategies.

Understanding the pulse of change in the short and long-term are at the heart of this new service. From monthly updates on EV sales, analysis of new policy and business developments, to our scenario-based outlooks that span to 2050, RTW: Mobility and Energy Future features ground-breaking insights for the 21st century and provides an in depth look at how automotive fleets will evolve from the personally-owned model of the past century to a multi-dimensional competitive environment where mobility service companies, electric powertrains, and driverless technology alter traditional buying and use patterns.

For the automotive industry, understanding the patterns of future car ownership and usage will be vital in preparing for tomorrow’s market. The market will become more complex as ride-sharing platforms and self-driving cars will give consumers an increasing number of options for personal mobility. Automakers and suppliers will need to adapt their products and business models to ensure they are prepared for greater diversity, the resizing of markets, battery charging needs, and related response from electric power markets.

For the oil and gas industry, light vehicles represent the most important end-market, accounting for one-third of global refined product demand and nearly 40% of total oil demand growth since 2000.

For the electric power industry, as electric cars become more widespread, the power generation and distribution industries will forge new ties with a wide array of other industries. This presents both challenges and opportunities throughout the energy industry. New demand will have to be managed at a time of wider transformation.

With RTW: Mobility and Energy Future you can:

  • Identify short and long-term opportunities
  • Anticipate future changes
  • Minimize risk by offering better 'preparedness'
  • Explore the validity of commonly held beliefs
  • Develop and test business strategies

What's included

Monthly sales data

Monthly sales data for light vehicles in 11 key markets, with electric vehicles (EVs) to be clearly identified, providing insight into this fast changing segment.

Bi-annual reports

Bi-annual ‘Mobility Watch’ reports will address key questions at the heart of the automotive industry’s transformation, assessing the pace of change and its impact on the energy and petrochemical industries.

Regular research notes

Trenchant analysis of ongoing developments in the automotive industry and their impact on the energy industry. The scope of our research will cover many aspects of change, including self-driving cars and mobility services.

Scenarios to 2050

Projections up to 2050 for two scenarios covering key data such as light vehicle fleet and sales, miles driven, alternate technology penetration and fuel demand, powertrain, mobility channel, among others. The scenarios are:

  • Rivalry:
    Our base case scenario: Increased competition in energy, technology, geopolitics leads to no clear mobility direction

  • Autonomy:
    Technology and society drive fundamental change in the mobility sector

How will cities and cars adapt to changing motorization trends

City motorization peaks when urbanization rates reach 80%, but congestion is just one of many factors that could affect future mobility trends.

Click sections below to explore current trends.

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