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MHCV Plant Capacity Forecast

Automotive OEMs’ production capacity and utilization are key indicators not only for the industry but also for the global economy. Access to reliable capacity and utilization forecasts – along with an understanding of their short- and long-term implications – is fundamental to identifying industry growth opportunities and red flags.

IHS Markit Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicle (MHCV) Plant Capacity Forecast provides information and insights to support you in optimizing planning and investment decisions, maximizing opportunities and minimizing risks, and building winning competitive strategies.

Download a sample data forecast View our eight-year forecast (current year plus seven) for plant capacity and utilization


Indispensable insight

Automotive industry leaders and influencers use the MHCV Plant Capacity Forecast to:


  • Assess competitors’ geographic footprint and capacity
  • Gauge competitors’ utilization of, and investment in, capacity
  • Identify manufacturing partnership opportunities


  • Target opportunities for plant retooling
  • Formulate tier-1 “just-in-time” co-location strategies
  • Assess proximity of supplier capacity to OEM customer production locations

Government agencies

  • Understand employment, production capacity, and utilization of domestic MHCV sector over the forecast horizon

Financial institutions

  • Evaluate OEMs’ utilization of manufacturing assets and ability to react to market changes
  • Assess OEMs’ manufacturing costs and labor union footprint


In-depth analysis on a global scale

The MHCV Plant Capacity Forecast extends the unmatched coverage of our MHCV Production Forecast, spanning across over 500 plants (including completely built up and knocked down plants) in 53 countries with 10 years of history (from calendar year 2010) and a 8-year (current year plus seven years) forecast horizon. It provides analysis on total capacity/utilization by OEM, plant, and region. Fields include:

  • Region
  • Country/Territory
  • Manufacturing group
  • Manufacturer
  • Labor representation
  • Production/Assembly plant
  • Plant footprint (latitude and longitude)
  • Initial output date
  • Shift set-up
  • Production volume
  • Normalized capacity and utilization (%)
  • Straight-time capacity and utilization (%)
  • Maximum capacity and utilization (%)

The Plant Capacity Module is updated quarterly. Both history and forecast data are delivered in annual buckets. In addition, a map function is also available in our online business intelligence tool, Autoinsight, to offer a visual analysis on global MHCV production layout.


Andrej Divis

Members of his team are located in Brazil, mainland China, India, Japan and the United States as well as in Europe. Educated in the United States, he holds a master's degree from The Johns Hopkins University and a bachelor's from Georgetown. His spoken languages include English, Czech and German.Andrej brings nearly two decades of automotive and commercial-vehicle industry experience to the role, having begun his career in 2001 as a truck analyst with PlanEcon/Global Insight (now part of S&P Global), covering Eastern Europe and the Middle East. He held a variety of analytical and planning positions with General Motors in Europe starting in 2003. These included assignments in Germany and in Hungary and roles in forecasting; new business development; and product planning. Based in the United States now, Andrej re-joined Automotive in 2012, focusing on the East European and North American truck markets.Recent team efforts have focused on the effects of the COVID pandemic on the commercial-vehicle markets, and on upcoming new-technology rollouts, including the anticipated increased electrification of buses and trucks.

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Ewa Root

Ewa is an Associate Director in the Global Heavy Truck Research team providing oversight for global heavy commercial vehicle sales. Ewa is based in the company's London office, and is directly in charge of forecasts for heavy trucks sales and production in Central and Eastern Europe. She is responsible for analysis of market trends and for tracking manufacturers' strategies, investment plans and competitive position. In this role, she is responsible for the global truck sales forecast process and is also involved in many ad hoc forecasting and consulting projects.Before joining the Automotive Forecasting group at S&P Global Mobility, Ewa gained experience at Standard & Poors.Ewa has a Master of Science degree from the University of Economics, Wroclaw Poland. She speaks fluent Polish and English.

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Antti Lindstrom

His primary responsibility is production forecasts for the three North American markets (United States, Canada, Mexico) including the market intelligence, trends and technical developments across the region.Antti earned a Master's degree at the University of Michigan and a Bachelor's degree at the University of Turku, in Finland. Languages: English, Finnish, German, Swedish.

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Christiane Stein

Christiane joined the company in mid-2016 and is responsible for the European and Global Production Forecast. This includes market and competitor intelligence, future technologies and market segmentation. Christiane is also an expert on bus markets and segmentation. Christiane leads a team of analysts located in mainland China, India, South Africa, Brazil and North America. Her spoken languages include English, German and Italian.Recent team efforts have focused on the effects of the COVID pandemic on the commercial-vehicle production as well as the shortage of components. The latest product offering by the team is the MHCV Production Capacity Forecast.Prior to joining S&P Global, Christiane worked nearly ten years in the automotive industry. Her work experience include positions at MAN Truck & Bus AG and BorgWarner Turbo Systems where she forecasted and segmented the global truck, bus and passenger car markets.Christiane graduated in Business Administration in Leipzig, Germany.

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Jia Li

Jia is responsible for medium and heavy commercial vehicle industry analysis and sales forecast in Greater China. Her expertise includes sales forecast, OEM strategy, market trend, competition analysis, and analysis on industry-related regulation and policy. Before joining S&P Global in July 2011, she worked as senior industry analyst in the Strategy Department of a leading Chinese medium and heavy commercial vehicle OEM. Prior to that, she gained macroeconomics research background when she worked on the trading floor of a world-class fixed asset investment firm.Jia holds an MS degree in Macroeconomics, Finance and Statistics from Humbolt University of Berlin in Germany.

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Paritosh Gupta

Paritosh responsibilities include tracking and analyzing market trends, OEM and supplier strategies, as well as analysis of foreseeable impacts from the political and economic environment, government policies and regulations. He handles both the sales and production forecasts for all countries under his purview. He has worked in the automotive market research industry for almost the entirety of his career starting with Markets and Markets before moving to S&P Global Mobility in 2016.Paritosh holds a master's degree in business administration from the University of Petroleum & Energy Studies, India. He speaks fluent English and Hindi.

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Miki Sasaki

Miki's responsibilities are global powertrain forecast, and new technology research. The current main tasks are electrification trends forecast and autonomous trends. Before joining S&P Global, she worked in research and development for around 20 years. Miki's last projects were electric vehicle development, truck platooning project and CO2 reduction project.

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Cassie Liu

Cassie (Fangchi) oversees the Medium and Heavy Commercial Vehicle (MHCV) market research and production forecast for Mainland China and Taiwan. Based on the deep dive of market supply and demand fundamentals, macroeconomic and policy environment, industry megatrends, OEMs' strategies and production planning, as well as product lifecycle and competitiveness, she produces quarterly analytical reports and critical long-term production forecast perspectives for the Greater China's MHCV industry. She is also frequently involved in related consulting or public conference topics.Prior to joining S&P Global, Cassie oversaw product strategic planning for the mainland China market at a global leading German automotive OEM. Prior to that, she worked in a leading American diesel engine supplier, responsible for product competitive analysis and pricing matrix management.Based in Beijing, Cassie holds a Master of Science degree in Finance from Lancaster University, United Kingdom.

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