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GTAS Forecasting

Formerly known as GTA Forecasting and World Trade Service

The world’s most comprehensive database of international trade and commercial freight traffic providing long-term annual forecasts up to year 2035, and quarterly forecasts for eight quarters ahead, including data broken down by transportation modes and cargo types.

The GTAS Forecasting provides market and business planners with in-depth analysis, historical data, and forecasts of bilateral trade between 248 countries and regions across 270 commodities and 16 key indicators (Trade Concepts). It is a database including annual and quarterly frequency data updated every quarter.

In June and September 2021 releases, major enhancements have been introduced to GTAS Forecasting database:

  • Supplementing of intra-European trade flows in value and volume broken down by transportation modes: Sea, Air and Overland/Other trade
  • Developing new, more detailed Overland/Other transport mode breakdown into four new categories: Rail, Road, Inland Waterway, and Other for selected trade routes
  • Providing short-term outlook for eight quarters ahead with quarterly frequency data

Get the information and insight you need to size international markets, identify global business risks and opportunities, conduct strategic planning, make confident trade and transportation investment decisions, and secure long-term competitiveness.

  • Plan competitive strategies by identifying when specific country and commodity trade will rebound
  • Uncover risks and opportunities by analysing and comparing target markets
  • Understand market trends and the economic factors driving them
  • Understand factors that could impact economic development and infrastructure plans
  • Conduct product line forecasting and benchmark performance

Source of data – Global Trade Atlas (GTA).
GTA is a part of IHS Markit, the market-leading database for trade data includes monthly data from 104 reporting countries and annual data for over 200 countries.

Access long-term outlooks and forecasting for world trade and transportation
Request Sample Forecast
Product training for existing customers

Empower Your Decision Making!

GTAS Forecasting supports your business needs across industries and around the world. It benefits:

  • Consulting companies
  • Trade associations
  • Government agencies
  • Logistics companies
  • Ship owners and operators
  • Commodity producers
  • Port authorities
  • Dredging and offshore contractor
  • Shipyard constructors

How can the GTAS Forecasting help you?

Use this interactive image to explore how GTAS Forecasting creates opportunities for various business departments

GTAS Forecasting Features

Extensive historical database and forecasts
  • Historical Database sourced in Global Trade Atlas
  • Annual historical and forecast data ranging from 2005 to 2035
  • Quarterly historical and forecast data ranging from 2018Q1 to 2023Q4
  • All the historical values as well as forecasts are revised on a quarterly basis
  • Bilateral trade between 248 countries and regions, across 270 commodities and 16 key indicators
  • Data are carefully cleaned, processed and standardised to consistently cover all countries across all commodity categories and indicators
  • Missing data for Metric Tons is estimated
  • Forecast is produced by commodity-specific and country-specific export and import global trade models, upgraded to include COVID-19 impact
  • Historical real values and a set of macroeconomic indicators from IHS Markit’s Economics & Country Risk division are input into the forecasting model
  • The simultaneous modeling of all time-series using three different statistical methods to select the best-suited model results
Easy access to data, analysis and visualizations
  • Access GTAS Forecasting data via Data Browser on Connect platform, our user-friendly, web-based interface

  • Select countries, commodities and indicators; create your own customized regional and commodity aggregates and download your data in Excel format
  • Use our GTAS Forecasting dashboard with trade visualizations, methodology documents, service bulletins and macroeconomic drivers

GTAS Forecasting dashboard

  • Use our new GTAS Forecasting Analytics with trade data by transportation modes displayed on interactive maps, charts and rankings of top exporters/importers and trade routes

Analysis and commentary
  • Trends in the World Economy and Trade - quarterly report providing an overview of trade and transportation trends and outlooks focusing on global trade by export and import regions and by transportation mode, seaborne and containerized trade outlook, comparison with our previous forecast as well as the world economy and commodity prices sections
  • Exclusive Insights and Headline Analysis on global trade focusing on international trade relations, along with trade regulatory issues
  • Read about the evolution of export specialization in the East Asia Region based on GTAS Forecasting new Export Specialization Analytics

Industry Success Stories

Connect with an expert

Katarzyna Skrzypek

Mrs Skrzypek is a senior economist in the Maritime & Trade division, where she contributes to developing bilateral trade forecasts for the GTA Forecasting database and performs international trade analysis. Mrs Skrzypek is an author for part of the GTA Forecasting quarterly strategic report called 'Trends in the World Economy and Trade', as well as other trade market headline analysis. Mrs Skrzypek also works on expanding the array of GTA Forecasting products on the IHS Markit Connect platform, planning meritorical and the visual side of the content and takes part in preparing marketing campaigns for these products. She has also cooperated with other IHS Markit services, such as the Banking Risk Service and Pricing and Purchasing (developing forecast models for price indices). Before joining Maritime & Trade, Mrs Skrzypek worked as a senior information specialist in information management, where she was dealing with historical macroeconomic and financial data for the Middle East and Africa and CIS regions. Mrs Skrzypek has an MA degree in transport and logistics, which she obtained from the University of Gdansk, Faculty of Economics.

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Mabel Ng

Mabel is the Product Manager for Trade Data Tools at IHS Markit. She is responsible for the vision and roadmap of the Global Trade Atlas (GTA) and GTA Forecasting. Mabel partners with executives and businesses of all sizes to identify growth opportunities, reduce supply chain risk and assess markets. She has a passion for developing strong business relationships with customers to solve practical problems. Mabel has an extensive international trade background, prior to joining IHS Markit, she spent ten years at the shipping line industry where she was responsible new market analytics and research initiatives. Mabel has an MBA and a Juris Doctor from the Chinese University of Hong Kong.

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Agnieszka Maciejewska

Agnieszka's team develops trade data visualizations on the IHS Markit Connect platform and creates articles on trade policy analysis and factors impacting bilateral exchange. Agnieszka is also responsible for delivering parts of the quarterly Trends in the World Economy and Trade report. Agnieszka oversees GTA Forecasting product development as its product manager. Agnieszka is responsible for creating paths of development for the GTA Forecasting product and for external contact with clients. Agnieszka performs multiple presentations, demos, trainings and webinars for Maritime and Trade clients. Agnieszka is also responsible for internal cooperation between GTA Forecasting and products from other divisions of IHS Markit. Before joining Maritime and Trade, Agnieszka worked in the information management team, dealing with historical macroeconomic and financial data. Agnieszka has an MA degree in international trade from University of Gdansk, Faculty of Economics where she also completed doctoral studies.

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Jakub M. Kwiatkowski

Dr. Kwiatkowski is a Senior Economist at GTAS Forecasting team, where he contributes to quarterly forecasts of international trade. He specializes in international trade, blue growth and gravity models.He graduated from University of Gdańsk (Ph.D. in economics and finance) and Kiel Institute for the World Economy (Advanced Studies Programe).Dr. Kwiatkowski work experience includes both corporate and academic background. Recently, he also works as a researcher at the Economic Faculty at University of Gdańsk.Dr. Kwiatkowski participated in several research projects founded by the Polish National Science Centre as well as consulting and advisory projects for various government agencies and local authorities. His works concerning international trade, technological progress and corporate finance were published in world leading journals, such as "Marine Policy".

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