Rivalry, the IHS Markit “planning scenario,” describes a world of increasing competition for political and economic power as the world transitions to a more multipolar world with broader distribution of wealth and influence. This increased competition plays out in the energy industry as growing rivalry among energy sources drives fundamental shifts in the fuels and technologies used in transportation and electric power generation.
Vertigo considers a volatile future in which global political and economic uncertainty is endemic, resulting in a perennially risk-averse environment that is focused on short term profit maximization and cost containment. This leads to frequent time lags in capital investment that cause chronic mismatches between demand and supply. While innovation moves forward, the world does not efficiently adjust to the impacts of technology on labor markets and the broader economy, adding to the atmosphere of instability and imbalance.
Autonomy considers a world in which a powerful combination of policy, market and social forces pushes technology and consumer behavior in ways that transform the global energy system. The world moves increasingly away from centralized, traditional sources of energy, toward new sources of indigenous energy production that meet local energy needs in changing ways.
Online Access to all Service Datasets/Reports and Phone Access to IHS Markit Research Staff
Global Scenarios Report and Macroeconomic Dataset
Scenario Signposts and Key Data Elements (5-year outlooks for select fuels prices/GDP growth rates for the world, major regions and select countries)
Biannual Global Energy Watch
Integrated view from across IHS Markit of key energy issues
Includes summary report/slide deck explaining key drivers and changes in annual dataset update for these concepts:
- Population and GDP
- Primary Energy
- Oil and Natural Gas
- Electric Power
- Upstream Oil/Gas Capital Cost
- Key indicators (labor productivity, exchange rates, interest rates, trade, savings rates, etc.)
- Global Scenarios Analytics
Data visualization tool in a dynamic, interactive visual format