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Europe Power, Gas, Renewables, Cleantech Analysis

Energy forecasts, strategic analysis, and insights

This service delivers updated news and integrated analysis of Europe’s power, gas and renewables grid in the EU 28 countries. Find power market fundamentals, renewable energy forecasts, power capital costs, competitive benchmarking, long-term strategic analysis, and topical insights into fuel types for each country and on an aggregate level.

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Key benefits

 

Support your strategic planning and investment processes

 

Anticipate shifts in policy, regulation, technology and markets

 

Gain a long-term views of the EU’s energy mix

European Power
  • European power market long-term market outlook: GDP, power demand by sector, installed capacity, annual capacity additions, annual generation by technology and carbon emissions to 2050 for 36 countries in Europe under different cases
  • European wholesale price outlook: long-term baseload price projections, and short-term outlook for base-load and peak power prices for the main power markets
  • Associated assumptions and analysis concerning the outlook for fuel and carbon, power prices and spreads
  • Review of EU ETS price drivers—power market dynamics, emissions by sector, offset use and carbon price outlook
  • Impact analysis of key EU and national policy developments on supply/demand fundamentals
  • Historical electricity demand figures on a monthly basis and by sector on a yearly basis; and historical monthly electricity generation by fuel
  • Historical country-specific retail price evolution and breakdown
  • Strategic reports on topics relevant to long-term market evolution including energy policy, market design, regulation, and the role of new technologies
  • Country profiles covering policy and market fundamentals

Example: European power capacity outlook to 2025 (click to enlarge image)

European Gas
  • Report on long-term demand, supply, and price outlooks for eight traded markets and seven hub- and oil-linked import prices representing a basket of imports for specific countries
  • Short- and long-term sectoral demand outlook and supply projections (including sources from LNG, Russia, Norway, Algeria, Azerbaijan, Libya, Iran and from indigenous sources)
  • Monthly prices for NBP, Zeebrugge, TTF, generic oil-indexed long-term gas import contract to north-west Europe
  • Fuel competitiveness comparison and market implications for gas versus coal, oil and oil products
  • National and regional storage balances, planned new storage and future flexibility requirements
  • Gas storage utilization data and recent market views
  • Traded volumes and liquidity at main trading points and insight into regulatory and other changes that might affect market function, price behavior and liquidity
  • Market fundamentals and commentary on key drivers affecting the five-year market outlook, identifying most likely sources of risk
  • Yearly, monthly, quarterly HDDs and CDDs per country
  • Strategic reports on topics relevant to long-term planning processes
  • Developments in fundamentals, industry structure, policy and regulation, infrastructure, politics and historical prices by end-user sector
European Energy Demand and Hydrogen
  • European long-term full energy demand outlook: GDP, final energy consumption by sector and fuel, energy use in transformation (power and heat, hydrogen supply, other),, primary energy demand and greenhouse gas emissions to 2050 for 36 countries in Europe under different cases
  • European long-term hydrogen outlook: demand by sector and country, supply by technology and electrolysis capacity to 2050 for 36 countries in Europe under different cases
  • Strategic reports on topics relevant to the energy transition including energy policy, regulation, and the role of new technologies across the energy spectrum (e.g. bioenergy, heat, etc.)

Example: European hydrogen supply outlook (click to enlarge image)

European Renewables
  • Europe’s renewable energy statistics, including support levels for onshore and offshore wind, solar, and other technologies, by country
  • Renewable policy updates for the EU and national markets.
  • Outlook to 2050 for biomass, large and small hydro, pump storage, onshore and offshore wind, solar PV and CSP, and geothermal
  • Cost of production of renewable power from solar and wind, for European markets to 2050 (LCOE)
  • State of the European PPA market (power purchase agreements)
  • Executive briefings on industry, technology, and competitive trends
  • Strategic reports/market briefings on key topics

Example: European solar power project activity, H1 2017 (click to enlarge image)

Sample webinars

Sample topics:

  • “Fit for 55”—Europe’s climate ambition will have a profound effect on its energy market
  • IHS Markit European power outlooks: Comparing and contrasting the Green Case and the Planning Case
  • European gas—New infrastructure drives changing flows
  • Carbon markets, pricing, and offsets: What will be the balance going forward?
  • Overview of capacity markets and the value of capacity in Europe
  • Deadline looms for a deal: What happens when the Gazprom-Naftogaz transit agreement expires?
  • Biomethane in Europe: Estimating the potential resource

Experts

Shankari Srinivasan

Ms. Srinivasan has specific expertise in global gas market fundamentals analysis, price forecasting, company strategy and scenario planning. She has authored numerous reports. Prior to joining IHS Markit, Ms. Srinivasan was Head of Energy Fundamentals at Centrica in the United Kingdom. She has covered the European gas market for many years and authored a number of reports as researcher and then leader of the European gas practice at CERA, which is now part of IHS Markit. She has also assessed the European and Russian gas markets with the International Energy Agency. Ms. Srinivasan previously worked at a New York brokerage firm as a corporate equity analyst. She holds three degrees from US Universities, a Bachelor of Arts from Brown University, a Master of Science from New York University, and a Master of Science from University of Pennsylvania. She also holds an Executive MBA from Cranfield University, United Kingdom.

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Catherine Robinson

Ms. Robinson has worked on numerous tailored consulting assignments for international oil companies, European utilities, and financial institutions, providing strategic advice and recommendations at the board and senior executive level. She specializes in market fundamentals, hedging, and risk management. Ms. Robinson is the author of numerous IHS Markit reports, which include analyses of the evolution of the European gas and power market and the implications for the strategy of market players; Europe's energy transition; and short- and long-term energy market fundamentals, among other research topics. She was the research lead for a number of Multiclient Studies looking at the long-term future of the European energy systems, including "Strategies for a Lean Europe: Meeting the Energy Efficiency Challenge," "Beyond the flame: The transformation of Europe's heat sector," and "Steady at 50: Balancing Europe's power grid," a study of European ancillary service markets. Before joining IHS Markit, Ms. Robinson held posts at Centrica and in HSBC's Capital Markets division. She holds a Bachelor of Science and a Master of Science from the University of Glasgow and a Master of Science from the University of London, both in the United Kingdom.

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Sylvain Cognet-Dauphin

Mr. Cognet-Dauphin is responsible for the fundamental analysis of power markets across Europe to support asset valuation, retainer services, and Multiclient Studies. He also supervises the European long-term energy demand analysis. Prior to joining IHS Markit, Mr. Cognet-Dauphin was chief analyst at ENGIE's Center of Expertise in Economic and Modeling Studies, where he managed a team of consultants in charge of energy demand assessments, French energy policy and regulation, and operational optimization and analytics studies.He also directed long-term power and gas market assessment for France, Turkey, and African countries. Before ENGIE, Mr. Cognet-Dauphin was senior principal researcher at IHS Markit, where he contributed to consulting assignments related to power and gas markets in the Middle East, North Africa, and Wider Europe.Mr. Cognet-Dauphin holds a master's degree from Ecole de Mines de Paris, France, and attended corporate finance executive education programs at the London Business School, United Kingdom.

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Coralie Laurencin

Ms. Laurencin specializes in regulation and strategy in European power markets and renewable energy investments. Her work centers on how policy is shaping the energy transition. In particular, she focuses on the European carbon price, the emissions trading scheme (ETS), renewable support frameworks and PPAs, and developing capacity markets.Before joining IHS Markit, Ms. Laurencin developed onshore wind and biomass projects in the United Kingdom with EFRG. Prior to that, she led the regulatory analysis efforts of boutique investment bank Climate Change Capital, focusing on the ETS in London, and was a part of EDF's commodity market analysis team in Paris. She holds a Master in Management from HEC Paris, France.Ms. Laurencin speaks French and English.

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Mr. Alun Davies

Mr. Davies leads the gas content of the European GPE retainer service, a role that covers market fundamentals, quantitative modeling, and research. He also plays a significant role in the development of the long term energy balance outlooks for Europe. His expertise includes price forecasting, market strategy, fundamentals analysis, and European gas market design and operation. Mr. Davies has authored or co-authored research reports on a variety of topics within the European Energy and Global gas space. These cover a variety of topics including European gas pricing and risk management, gas supply and infrastructure, and gas demand in the context of fuel switching in the power sector. Prior to joining IHS Markit, Mr. Davies worked for six years at a major UK gas and power utility in a variety of roles, including long-term strategy, power modeling, trading, and trade strategy. He also has R&D experience working for a major global pharmaceutical company. Mr. Davies holds a Masters degree in Chemistry from the University of Oxford.

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Deborah Mann

Ms. Mann was the project research lead on the IHS Markit studies "Hydrogen: The missing piece of the zero-carbon puzzle" and "Beyond the Flame: The transformation of Europe's heat sector," and she has authored numerous reports on subjects including energy storage, power to gas, sector coupling, renewable heat, energy efficiency, and carbon capture and utilization. Ms. Mann joined IHS Markit in 2007, leading a team producing European power market fundamentals analysis and modeling, as well as long-term European energy outlooks. Her previous experience includes 15 years in oil refining and gas conversion with BP, where she carried out various techno-economic appraisal and strategic studies, and for M W Kellogg, where she set up and ran a refinery planning group. A chartered chemical engineer, Ms. Mann is a member of the Institution of Chemical Engineers and of the Energy Institute. Educated in the United Kingdom, Ms. Mann holds Master of Arts and Master of Engineering degrees from the University of Cambridge and a Master of Science from Kingston University.

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Zoe Grainge

Ms. Grainge is responsible for researching renewable power in Europe and developing the capacity outlook. She joined IHS Markit in 2008 with the acquisition of Global Insight and has held senior positions on the IHS Markit World Markets Energy and Gas Analysis services prior to moving into renewable power.In addition, Ms. Grainge has contributed to a number of cross-IHS Markit reports and bespoke projects. Ms. Grainge holds a Master of Arts from the University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom, and Master of Science from the University of Reading, United Kingdom.

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Laurent Ruseckas

Laurent Ruseckas is a leading authority on the gas industry in Europe and Eurasia, with a special focus on gas supply and transportation and a regional focus on the Caspian Sea region, southeastern Europe, Turkey, Ukraine and the Eastern Mediterranean. He has published client research on topics including EU gas regulation, Russian-Ukrainian gas arbitration, and the gas sectors in Azerbaijan and Turkmenistan. He has worked for more than two decades advising international oil and gas companies and institutional investors on energy investment in Eurasia, and has led assignments in which IHS Markit served as Lenders' Market Consultant in support of project financings on numerous occasions. Ruseckas first joined CERA (a predecessor company of IHS Markit) in 1991 and led CERA's Caspian Energy practice from 1997 to 2003. Ruseckas co-managed the Caspian Development Corporation project carried out for the World Bank and European Commission (DG Energy) during the period 2009-2011. From 2006 to 2008, Ruseckas was based in Baku, Azerbaijan as Director of Business Development and head of strategy for a company in the oil transportation sector. A Russian speaker, Ruseckas holds a B.A. with honors in Russian and Soviet Studies from Harvard University (Cambridge, USA), and he passed comprehensive examinations in the Ph.D. program in Political Science at Columbia University (New York, USA).

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