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Foresight Country Risk

Country risk assessment, ratings, and forecasts to enhance intelligence-led underwriting decisions

Foresight Country Risk (FCR) delivers detailed political violence risk assessments that enable insurers to efficiently identify, evaluate, and monitor risks at country, region, and location-specific levels. Our forward looking, intelligence led assessments allow you to customize the analysis focus on specific asset types, locations, industries, and perils.

Our daily updated streamed intelligence, dynamic forecasts, advanced mapping, and location-specific risk ratings on war, terrorism, civil unrest and property risk are critical to insurers looking to reliably benchmark, price risk and manage exposures.

Our clients rely on our expertise for a wide range of insurable classes of business:

  • Accident & Health
  • Aviation
  • Aviation War
  • Business Interruption
  • Casualty
  • Construction
  • Energy
  • Financial Institutions
  • Kidnap and Ransom
  • Marine
  • Marine War
  • Marine Hull
  • Marine Liability
  • Political Risk
  • Property
  • Terrorism
  • Trade Credit
  • War


What’s included:

Insights and reports
  • Headline Analysis: Daily updates of key risk impact on political and political violence environment in each country – key risk indicators to watch help clients to assess if risks are increasing and decreasing
  • Country Reports and Risk Forecasts: Risk outlook for 211 countries
  • Special Reports: Country Risk Quarterly, topical reports and incident evaluations
  • Bulletins and Newsletters: Daily and weekly intelligence reports by country, industry, risk and asset type
Risks and ratings, Intelligence events
  • Intelligence Events: over 1,000,000 intelligence events with a history back to 2007
  • Risk Index: One-year risk rating for 4 sub-sovereign perils for 211 countries
  • Location-Specific Risk Ratings: One-year risk score for every 500 X 500 meters globally for overall political violence, war, terrorism, and civil unrest risk
    • Integrate location data on insured assets, premiums, and exposures with the dataset to generate scalable risk analytics.
    • Integrate data on assets, facilities, and personnel with the dataset to evaluate your global risk exposure.
    • Incorporate the dataset within your own systems and processes via API.
    • Access the risk layer within your own mapping platform.
  • Foresight Location Analytics: Upload files of your own asset locations for display on Connect, analysis of the risk profile of the asset schedule or for the retrieval of risk ratings. Each user can upload up to 4 files at anyone time with up to 50,000 assets in each. These files can be shared with other users.
  • TerrorRisk Targets dataset: forward-looking analysis and insight into geographic terror risk exposures that can be evaluated on a building-by-building basis, across target types or by desired political or geographical boundaries—such as city, country or postal code. TerrorRisk contains global intelligence about thousands of specific terror risk target locations that insurers can use for terrorism exposure location analytics, portfolio risk management, risk proximity analysis and street-level terrorism risk assessment.
Workflow Tools

Connect

Maximize your subscription content with Connect – our state-of-the-art business intelligence platform

  • Location or Asset-specific Alerts: Create custom alerts based on your own intelligence criteria (e.g. risk type, relevance, keywords, location)
  • Online Mapping: Visualize risk with dynamic war, terrorism, civil unrest and overall political violence risk mapping for every point on the planet and integrate geocoded incident and indicator events
  • Intelligence events analyzer: Search online database of over 1,000,000 incident and indicator events, using location, risk type, date and relevance filters
  • Report Builder: Create and communicate reports with risk content in word, PDF or email format
  • API Delivery available for clients that want to integrate Foresight Country Risk ratings, maps and analysis into their in-house scoring and pricing systems
Systematized Forecasting Methodology

Through our Country Risk Analysis and Forecasting Team we run a professional intelligence infrastructure, which includes systemization around analysis processes. This includes extensive risk indicator guidance against which forecasts are made, modelling tools and software as well as data and scenario analysis techniques to support analysts.

We collect intelligence inputs from local and regional media worldwide, social networks and discussion forums, activist and official organization websites and published data, as well as our extensive human source network. We collect both indicator events that signal change and risk-relevant developments that signal shifting trends.

We have centralized data handling to ensure all intelligence inputs are consistently described and categorized for sector and location-specific risk relevance.

We use a tiered auditing process to ensure our analysis and forecasts are tested and free of bias. Each forecast has typically been through at least three layers of audit before reaching the client. Our methodology is also supported by innovative modelling, GIS analysis and cutting-edge content management software to ensure accuracy, consistency and rapid delivery of value for clients.

Dedicated Intelligence Infrastructure

Our team of 120 country risk experts work with a team of 200 in-country analysis to leverage dedicated intelligence collection against indicators of change to forecasts risks for 211 countries.

Member Privileges
  • Analyst Access: On-demand access to the Country Risk Analysis and Forecasting team
  • Country Risk Webcasts: Webcasts on key events and trends, with webcasts with leading expert Q&A

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