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Country Risk Consulting

Convert risk into opportunity with bespoke solutions

From project or investment selection, through market entry and ongoing risk monitoring and management, we can support you with actionable intelligence, business relevant forecasts, and tailored solutions. Work with us to assess, quantify, and integrate country and geopolitical risk into your wider enterprise and strategic risk management frameworks.

Find out why strategic planners, risk managers and investors rely on us to:

  • Understand local dynamics
  • Develop strategy
  • Select projects
  • Evaluate and measure impact
  • Incorporate geopolitics in wider risk frameworks

How we can help

Baseline/Context

  • Influence dynamics
  • Power and stakeholder mapping
  • Business drivers analysis
  • Industry, sector, and product mapping

Impact

  • Economic and social impact
  • Scenario consequence analysis
  • Investment appraisal
  • Financial impact on NPV/ROI

Forecast

  • Risk: political, security, regulatory, reputation, supply chain
  • Market sizing and segmentation
  • Economic analysis
  • Industry specific forecasts

Strategy design and implementation support

  • Stakeholder engagement
  • Compliance 
  • Economic development strategy
  • Investment strategy
  • Security standards and strategy

Early Warning

  • Intelligence collection plans
  • Indicator monitoring: market and risk sentiment
  • Streamed tailored intelligence

Offerings

Project Selection and Exposure Management

Strategic Market Identification and Investment Selection
Evaluate critical political, security, economic, financial and sector indicators to identify new or strategic markets for investment.

Benchmarking, Pricing and Aggregation
Integrate country and contagion risk data and analysis into already existing risk models to inform potential investment decisions.

Investment Appraisals
Quantify country risk in financial terms to inform the financial evaluation of new investments and existing business activities.

Stakeholder Mapping and Integrity Risk

Influence Dynamics
Map key stakeholders and power dynamics, their influence levels and agendas, possible scenarios and risk mitigation strategies within a country, project or sector.

Integrity Due Diligence
Provide forward-looking analysis of reputational, legal and political risks associated with new or existing counterparts.

Project-specific Forecasting and Scenario Analysis

Political, Security, Regulatory, Reputation and/or Supply Chain Risk Forecasting
Market- and operation-specific risk analysis and forecasting taking into account the location and specific profile of your investment.

Scenario Analysis
Identify realistic and high impact scenarios to help you plan against credible futures. Create an outlook model for a given country, operation, project or other focus area to account for strategic trends and to predict probable consequences, including maximum loss.

Early Warning Systems

Intelligence Collection Plans
A multi-layered risk audit—initiated by our analysts and tested by our methodology experts--to limit bias and ensure forecast accuracy.

Indicator Monitoring Systems
Identify and integrate primary risk indicator change alerts into your risk monitoring process.

Bespoke Risk Scores
Develop a bespoke score index to feed your internal models and processes, covering sectors or geographies specific to your operations.

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