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Crude Oil Supply Analytics

Drill Down into the Global Crude Oil Supply Outlook

Crude Oil Supply Analytics (COSA) unlocks the detail behind IHS Markit’s global crude oil and condensate production outlook.

COSA supports business development, market and trading analysis, portfolio management, and refinery feedstock planning. The service provides an ability to dig into the components of oil production and understand underlying cost, quality, technical, political and economic assumptions for 21 key countries.

Our forecasts of crude production to 2050 start with technical production potential, derived from IHS Markit modeling of thousands of assets globally, and then layer on the anticipated effects of non-technical factors.

COSA is available as a supply-focused stand-alone offering. However, it may also be used in concert with elements of the Crude Oil Markets Suite - providing significant additional supply detail, with quarterly updates.

Crude Oil Supply Analytics Unlock details behind the production outlook
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5 year global oil supply outlook Where, when, and how much?

What's Included

Country Profiles

Provide key assumptions and detail on forecast drivers for 21 critical producing countries, with information on:

  • Above and below-ground risk factors
  • Historical and current crude oil and condensate production by terrain
  • Anticipated base decline rate of current production
  • Projects under development (sanctioned and unsanctioned) including on-stream date, volume, and geography
  • Estimate of “yet-to-find”—the amount of undiscovered oil that will be found and developed in the time frame of our outlook
  • Full cycle cost estimate for each component of future supply
  • Breakdown of crude oil quality by API gravity (light, medium, and heavy)
Analytical Tool and Data Files

Provide access to forecast detail and enable the user to slice-and-dice global current and future production by:

  • Cost structure of global production by breakeven price
  • Production by terrain (onshore or offshore by water depth)
  • Crude oil production quality by API gravity
  • Existing and new source production
  • For conventional production: existing, sanctioned, unsanctioned and yet-to-find volumes in our outlook
  • Unconventional (tight oil) production: existing and projected production
  • Major project production by operator (conventional production)
  • Production by geography (sub-play, basin, and country)

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