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Balance risk with reward in the pursuit of regulatory compliance and vehicle performance.
What are my competitors doing with future powertrain options? Which technologies offer the best efficiency returns? If we miss our fleet's fuel economy and CO2 target, what’s the penalty?
Achieving compliance while maximizing vehicle performance tops the concerns of most automotive companies. Indeed, the average OEM will invest $5-8 billion each year in research and development for fuel efficiency. To help automotive manufacturers guide these investments, IHS Markit has pioneered a solution that allows you to quickly assess the longer-term tradeoffs among fuel economy, vehicle performance and regulatory compliance.
The Vehicle Performance & Compliance Monitor (VPaC) is a cloud-based web portal providing access to a twelve-year forecast for CO2 emissions, fuel consumption and acceleration performance for more than 60,000 vehicle-powertrain combinations – including 160-plus attributes per vehicle – across the United States, EU 28, China and Brazil. From visualizing how an OEM’s fleet will evolve in terms of CO2 performance, to judging who is likely to strike the critical balance between performance and emissions across brands, to identifying distressed OEMs to target, VPaC is a one-stop shop that gives OEMs and suppliers insight into vehicle performance and compliance for the entire market. No other offering features this breadth of information, speed of research results, technical rigor, competitive intelligence or cloud-based flexibility.
With VPaC, you can:
Understand your competitors use of CO2-saving and fuel efficiency technologies
See where your competitors are likely to position their products in each market segment
Simulate impact of new technologies on performance, fuel efficiency and carbon footprint
Optimize vehicle and fleet compliance globally in highly varied regulatory environments
Calculate tradeoff between potential government compliance fees versus sales
Determine the business case for your technology versus other viable options
Get the long-term forecast for fuel consumption and tailpipe CO2 emissions by adding five years to the base-forecast horizon. This extension also increases the number of vehicle-powertrain combinations to over 60,000.
The VPaC Response Tool is an enhancement to base VPaC data enabling OEMs and suppliers to evaluate technology costs for specific vehicles and OEM compliance paths. These costs are generated by IHS Markit through detailed component level assessment of individual technologies and systems. IHS Markit takes great care to insure that these technologies are fully vetted to understand the initial costs but also the effects of learning and economies of scale. Ultimately, these costs are used with CO2 and fuel economy outputs to determine the most cost effective strategy for compliance by an OEM or even down to a specific vehicle.
The VPaC Response Tool helps answer questions such as:
What is the cost for compliance for an OEM using EVs versus PHEVs versus HEVs?
What are the long term cost implications to European OEMs due to the expected falling diesel penetration rate?
What are the technologies that have the lowest cost of compliance for a specific vehicle?
Where does a specific technology fit on the adoption curve for a specific regulatory market?
Will customers find a level of technology requirement acceptable given the cost/benefit calculation?
What would it take to meet the regulatory requirement for a given cost premium?
Designed for strategy planning and competitive vehicle analysis, VPaC goes beyond the traditional engineering context by offering full vehicle performance and compliance analysis.
Who uses VPaC?
How?
OEMs
Determine total anticipated CO2 and fuel-economy performance across an entire future fleet
Compliance & Sustainability Officers
Prepare incentive strategies to sell vehicles
Assess tradeoffs between non-compliance penalty fees, technology deployment decisions and credit purchase strategy decisions
Avoid non-compliance penalty fees
Strengthen company reputation for sustainability
OEM Product Planners
Assess CO2 and fuel economy for competitors' future vehicles across the company’s market segments
Preserve brand reputation as a technology leader
Maintain and advance market share
OEM Product Engineers
Identify the competitive CO2 and fuel economy targets and benchmarks for product designs
Understand tradeoffs of available technology options to achieve mass reduction and vehicle efficiency, along with the resulting competitive impact on vehicle performance
Meet vehicle program budget costs
Ensure vehicle profitability
Suppliers
Target OEMs and vehicles that need my technology most
Demonstrate an analytics-based understanding to OEMs of their compliance challenges
Assess the business case for my technology versus other viable options
Experts
Andrew Fulbrook
Mr. Fulbrook is responsible for managing the global powertrain
team and forecasts. He supervises future global product program
intelligence and market analysis, future technologies and trends
assessments, and qualitative consulting activities surrounding
powertrain electrification. Prior to joining IHS Markit, he worked
extensively in the area of European powertrain and component
research. He is widely quoted in European and global automotive
publications, is often invited to provide keynote speeches and has
written multiple editorial contributions over the years.Mr. Fulbrook holds a Higher National Diploma with Merit in
Mechatronics, including Higher Mathematics, as well as a National
Diploma in Engineering Science, both from Brooklands College,
Surrey, England, UK.
Mr. Subramanian is a Global lead for CO2 compliance
business initiatives and forecast product offerings for IHS Markit
automotive team on the subjects of GHG, CAFE compliance,
CO2 forecasting, and Cost / Investment forecasting. This
also includes the regulatory impact assessment of car manufacturers
investment and powertrain portfolio trends to meet competitiveness
and compliance. Extensive experience on Climate change
transportation policy for Europe, China, and NAFTA market and its
contribution to Net Zero and Circular economy.Mr. Subramanian earned a Master of Engineering degree in 2004
and served in numerous roles with major manufacturers like
Caterpillar, Chrysler, Jaguar Land Rover, and Changan before
joining IHS Markit. He also served as a technology leader to manage
cross-functional initiatives on vehicle portfolio optimization,
cost-benefit technology selection and product planning to set fuel
economy and energy management targets to meet regulation
targets.Mr. Subramanian is also well known within the auto industry for
his contribution to news articles, whitepapers, press, conferences,
panels, and speaking engagements around GHG/CO2 regulation for
China, Europe, and US market.He is a subject matter expert for the IHS Markit Automotive team
on the topic of NetZero / Sustainability / Climate Change and
resilience / Smart and sustainable cities / GHG/ Sustainability /
Policy and regulation/ CO2 Compliance/ Cost Forecasting /Powertrain
and Electrification /Energy Management.
Dr. Ashand Namasivayam is a research analyst working in the EMEA
Automotive Powertrain and Compliance Forecasting department within
IHS Markit. He has a specific focus on internal combustion engines,
alternative powertrains and fuels with over ten years experience in
combustion engine research and development spanning academia and
industry. He joined IHS Markit in 2018 as part of the company's
entry into automotive fuel economy and CO2 compliance forecasting.
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