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Economics & Country Risk
Geostrategy 2021
Explore the dynamics and drivers that will shape state behavior, policy, industry impacts, and operational environments through the coming year.
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Country Risk Premiums: A key metric to informing investment decisions
Quantify country risks, in financial terms, generating specific Net Present Value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR) to test potential investments against changing risk scenarios.
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Is your sourcing strategy appropriately diversified?
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Top 10 Economic Predictions for 2021
Our experts provide their insights on what will unfold in 2021 as we begin to overcome the pandemic and chart new paths for the global economy.
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Economics & Country Risk
Who we are
Putting our 360-degree perspective to work for you
Our data, models, and experts provide companies with the complete perspective – from global economic strengths to industry level health and down to street-level risk assessments and everything in between. Our clients rely on us to support their strategic and tactical plans whether they are expanding their global footprint, negotiating pricing, setting investment plans, protecting their assets, or trying to increase revenue.
With comprehensive and consistent data, economic and risk forecasting models, granular country and sovereign risk ratings, comparative industry forecasts, commodity prices, and unmatched expertise, we enable customers to identify and optimize opportunities, mitigate risks, and solve problems across the globe.
Economics & Country Risk Products & Solution
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Security and Intelligence
Comparative Industry Analysis
Purchasing Managers Index – PMI™
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Life Sciences
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Experts
Nariman Behravesh, Ph.D.
Dr. Behravesh works closely with the company's chief economists on the forecasting process at IHS Markit. Dr. Behravesh and his team have received numerous awards, among them the 2017 Lawrence R. Klein Blue Chip Forecast Accuracy Award and top forecasters by Consensus Economics in 2013. Attaining consistently high annual ranking among US forecasters from The Wall Street Journal, Dr. Behravesh was ranked #3 (out of 56) for 2006, and was the only forecaster to place in the top six for 2003, 2004 and 2006. He frequently is cited by leading business publications, including The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, The Financial Times, Forbes and US News & World Report. He appears regularly on national radio and television programs, including BBC World Business Report, NBC Nightly News, CNN Headline News, The News Hour with Jim Lehrer (PBS), Fox News, CNBC, Bloomberg TV and Radio, All Things Considered and Marketplace on National Public Radio. He is a featured speaker at many of the top global conferences each year, including IHS Markit CERAWeek and the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland.Dr. Behravesh holds Ph.D. and M.A. degrees in economics from the University of Pennsylvania, where Nobel Laureate Lawrence R. Klein was his dissertation advisor, and a Bachelor of Science from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, US.
Joel Prakken, Ph.D.
A thought-leader on US economic outlook, monetary policy forecasts and fixed income markets with over 30 years of experience and expertise as a macroeconomic modeler, Dr. Prakken has developed an unmatched structural-econometric model of the US economy. He co-founded Macroeconomic Advisers which was acquired by IHS Markit in 2017. Prior to founding Macroeconomic Advisers, Dr. Prakken held the position of senior economist at the World Headquarters of the IBM Corporation and before that he served with the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, US. He also has held positions on the faculties of New York University's Graduate School of Business, the Economics Department of Washington University, and the Olin School of Business at Washington University. He is the past president and a fellow of the National Association for Business Economics (NABE). He is also past president of the Gateway Association of Business Economists in Saint Louis. Dr. Prakken has many publications to his credit, including papers written for the Council of Economic Advisers, the American Council for Capital Formation, and the Center for the American Study of Business on topics ranging from tax reform to budget policy to monetary policy to the impact of technology on productivity. He has testified on these topics before committees in both the US House of Representatives and the Senate. Dr. Prakken has participated in meetings of the Outside Consultants to Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, is a past member of the Panel of Economic Consultants to the Congressional Budget Office and is a current member of the advisory committee of the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Dr. Prakken completed his undergraduate degree in economics at Princeton University, and holds an MA and Ph.D. in economics from Washington University in Saint Louis, United States.
Rajiv Biswas
Rajiv previously worked as Director for South-East Asia for The Economist Group. His previous experience includes working for UBS as Executive Director for Asia-Pacific Country Risk and for the Royal Bank of Scotland as an international economist. He has also worked for an international organization, the Commonwealth Secretariat, as a senior economist in the International Capital Markets Department. Rajiv's experience also includes working as a consultant for the United Nations and the Asian Development Bank.Rajiv is a graduate of the London School of Economics, for the B.Sc.Econ.Hons. in Economics, and received his M.Sc. and D.I.C. from Imperial College at London University. Rajiv has published widely on a range of economic, trade and investmentrelated topics, with over 100 published articles. He frequently speaks at international conferences on the global and Asia-Pacific economies, including at World Economic Forum and Euromoney events as well as at United Nations conferences. He regularly appears on international TV programs, including for the BBC, CNBC, Bloomberg, Channel News Asia, CNN and Al Jazeera TV.He is the author of "Future Asia", published by Palgrave Macmillan in 2013, "Asian Megatrends" published by Palgrave Macmillan in 2016 and "Emerging Markets Megatrends" published by Springer/Palgrave Macmillan in 2018.
Ken Wattret
Mr. Wattret has worked as an economist in the financial markets since the early 1990s, initially for HSBC Global Markets. From 2000 onwards, he was the chief market economist for the euro area at BNP Paribas. Prior to joining IHS Markit in 2018, he was a Managing Director of Global Macro at TS Lombard, an independent research provider. A specialist in European economic and policy issues, his 'out of consensus' calls include predicting as early as 2012 that euro area deflation risk would force the European Central Bank to embark on a program of large-scale sovereign debt purchases despite strong opposition within many member states. He has taken a lead role in the presentation of key forecasts and themes to a broad spectrum of clients across Europe, the Americas and Asia, including corporates, banks and institutional and hedge fund-based portfolio managers. A well-known commentator on economic and financial issues, Mr. Wattret is frequently quoted in the media and appears on various TV and radio channels. He received his honors degree in economics from the University of Sheffield, UK, and post-graduate qualifications from the Chartered Institute of Bankers.
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PMI™ by IHS Markit Global Webcast Series
03 Feb 2021
Get the earliest insight into how global economies are recovering through the third quarter from COVID-19 lockdowns from the world's leading survey data - based on more than 28,000 interviews - the Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI)
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