Understanding the Global Petrochemical Industry - Shanghai
Tuesday, 09 April 2019
- 9:00 AMDay 1 Morning Session
Introduction to Petrochemicals
“This is the most exciting time to be in the industry as there is so much change. And with change comes opportunity – if we have a good understanding of the industry dynamics driving this change” – Dr. Jeff.
Regional Overview – “A Trip Around the World”
- North America – Shale gas reinvigorating the industry, but will low oil prices put the brakes on this?
- Western Europe – Good food, good wine, good beer, but no cheap feedstocks
- Russia – Lots of oil and gas but lacking infrastructure
- Middle East – A region in transition – Going downstream to create jobs, but coping with higher feedstock costs
- Asia – China the engine of growth, but slowing – Using coal to invent and re-invent the future
- South America – Industry is reorganizing – Brazil leading the way in “green” chemicals
Understanding Petrochemical Feedstocks
- Natural gas – Including an extensive discussion of shale gas. Learn about the concept of “stranded” gas and how this has created pockets of regional advantage in the olefins business
- Natural Gas Liquids (NGLs) – Ethane, propane, butanes, condensates – Each with their own uses and price drivers – Learn how all of this impacts the petrochemical industry
- Oil – Naphtha, middle distillates, heavy oil – Extensive discussion about how refining intersects with petrochemicals and the benefits of refinery/petrochemical integration
- Coal – Learn how China is leveraging cheap coal using old historical processes but also innovating new approaches as well
- Renewables – Will bio-based routes to “petrochemicals” make an impact? Come find out about the opportunities and challenges
- 10:50 AMIntroduction to the Olefins Business
Introducing ethylene, propylene and the C4 olefins (butadiene, n-butenes, isobutylene) – Chemical structures, physical form, sources, logistic issues, trade balances, key players and value chains.
Ethylene – The Largest of the Building Blocks
- Steam Cracking – A detailed look at the “heart and soul” of the petrochemical industry. Learn how Carbon Petroleum Dubbs put the “steam into steam cracking”
- Methanol to Olefins (MTO) – Finally commercial, is this a game-changer? Will MTO grow outside of China?
- “Green” Ethylene from Bioethanol – A great example of Dr. Jeff’s theory of “Reverse Process Economics”
- 1:30 PMDay 1 Afternoon Session
Cost of production methodology – Learn how costs are built-up in the petrochemical industry.
- Capex versus opex
- Raw material costs
- Utility costs
- By-product credits
- Variable or incremental costs
- Fixed costs – Labor, maintenance, etc
- Selling, general and administrative costs
- Cash costs
- Cash margins
Ethylene Economics – A case study comparing the costs of an ethane cracker versus a naphtha cracker. Regional costs are compared over the 20 years. Understand the huge Saudi advantage stemming from $0.75/MM Btu gas. The concept of cost curves is introduced and a global cost curve for ethylene production is presented and discussed.
Propylene – The Second Largest Building Block, but the Fastest Growing Olefin
- Unlike ethylene, three grades: Polymer grade, chemical grade and refinery grade
- Steam cracker co-product – The largest source, but shale gas causing a reduction – Learn why
- Propylene from FCC units – Refineries coming to the rescue
- On-purpose propylene – Mind the gap – Propane dehydrogenation (PDH), olefin metathesis, enhanced FCC, olefin cracking, methanol to propylene (MTP), and “green” propylene
- 3:20 PMThe C4 Olefins – Butadiene, Butene-1, Butene-2, and Isobutylene
- C4 disposition – Recycle co-crack or separate for chemical use
- Separating the C4’s – Not straightforward, must use our “bag of tricks” – Learn how and understand what raffinate-1 and raffinate-2 are all about
- Butadiene – Steam cracker by-product, but once again shale gas is hurting this source. Will on-purpose butadiene technology proliferate?
- n-Butenes (butene-1/butene-2) and isobutylene – From both steam crackers and FCC units – Competing with gasoline use
Wednesday, 10 April 2019
- 9:00 AMDay 2 Morning Session
Introducing Benzene, Toluene and the Xylenes – Taking the Complexity out of Aromatics Complexes
Chemical structures, physical form, logistic issues, trade balances, key players and value chains. Simplifying aromatics complexes – Separations techniques, and rebalancing supply/demand via isomerization and interconversions.
Benzene – The Largest of the Aromatics
- Learn how benzene limits in gasoline around the world are impacting benzene supply
- Understand how cheap shale gas negatively impacts benzene supply
- Coal-based benzene becoming more and more important in China
- Secondary sources – Hydrodealkylation (HDA) and toluene disproportionation (TDP) fill in supply gaps
Toluene – Learn about the Magic of Toluene Transformations – Fooling Mother Nature Xylenes – para-Xylene Rules
- Highlighting the role of refineries in the aromatics business
- How will huge Chinese investments in aromatics change global trade?
- Understand how the industry rebalances mixed xylenes distribution to match market demand
- 10:50 AMPetrochemical Value Chains – Understanding How the Industry Adds Value by Satisfying Market Demands
For the remainder of the course, the derivatives of each of the seven building blocks will be discussed one by one.
These discussions will include: Historical origins, key players, trade, process technologies and end-use applications.
In many cases, end-use application discussions will be reinforced by many “colorful and interesting” graphics and “show and tell” demonstrations.
Exploring the Ethylene Value Chain – Dominated by Four Very Commoditized Businesses
- Polyethylene – LDPE, LLDPE, HDPE – Learn what polymers are and what the difference is between the three types of polyethylene. Tupperware and Hula Hoops start a new industry “Green” polyethylene – What is it? What does “green” mean? Is it here to stay?
- PVC and the Vinyls Chain – Chlor/Alkali, EDC, VCM, PVC. Environmental, health and safety issues are always a consideration in this value chain. How can PVC be both rigid and flexbile?
- Ethylene Oxide (EO) and Monoethylene Glycol (MEG) – Key to the polyester business, anti-freeze and a range of specialty uses. Learn why the Middle East players dominate trade in MEG?
- Styrene – Key monomer for polystyrene, ABS, SBR and UPR – This discussion will be held off until the discussion of the benzene value chain on Day 3
- 1:30 PMDay 2 Afternoon Session I
Exploring the Propylene Value Chain – Bringing Good Things to Life
- Polypropylene – The most versatile and fastest growing of the polyolefins. Who invented PP? The most disputed story of invention in the entire industry
- Cumene/Phenol/Acetone – “Tyranny of the Two for One Process”
- Bisphenol A (BPA) – Toxicity issues weighing on this industry segment
- Polycarbonate – Strong, tough, glass-like clear – A wonderful plastic
- Epoxy resins – Super-tough thermoset
- 3:20 PMDay 2 Afternoon Session II
- Phenol Formaldehyde (PF Resins) – The original thermoset molding resin
- Methyl Methacrylate (MMA)/PMMA – The other glass-like plastic, competing with polycarbonate
- Propylene Oxide (PO) – Understanding the alphabet soup of process routes to PO: CHPO, PO/MTBE, PO/SM and more recently HPPO. Impacts the polyurethane business
- Oxo- Alcohols – n-Butanol and 2-Ethylhexanol. Biotech and regulatory issues impacting business
- Acrylic Acid – Key monomer for Super Adsorbent Polymers (SAPs). Diaper demo not to be missed. Also impacts the coatings business – Water based paint and UV-cured coatings
- Acrylonitrile – By-product hydrogen cyanide a barrier to entry. Acrylic fiber – Synthetic wool and world’s second synthetic fiber. Also polyacrylonitrile is precursor to carbon fibers
Thursday, 11 April 2019
- 9:00 AMDay 3 Morning Session
Exploring the C4 Olefins Value Chains – Key to the Synthetic Rubber Industry
- Natural Rubber – Fascinating tale of discovery, but importantly led to the development of the synthetic rubber industry
- Polybutadiene Rubber (PBR) / Styrene Butadiene Rubber (SBR) – Key to the development of synthetic tires
WW II spurs innovation
- Butyl Rubber (IIR) – How we keep the air in tires
- EPDM – Automotive hoses, gaskets, sealants, roofing, membranes
- Butene-1 – Comonomer for LLDPE and HDPE
- Butene-2 – Monomer for making Methyl Ether Ketone (MEK)
- Isobutene – Butyl rubber, MMA and MTBE production
- MTBE – The sad story of the demise of MTBE in the US
- Maleic Anhydride (MAN) – Exception to the rule. No need for a double bond, made direct from n-butane
- 10:50 AMExploring the Aromatics Value Chain
- Styrene – An interconnected story – Conventional technology versus POSM technology
- Polystyrene – GPPS/HIPS/EPS – What are they and their different end-use applications
- ABS – High impact plastic. Key to Lego products
- Nylon 6,6 and Nylon 6 – First well understood polymers and led to the development of the synthetic fiber industry
- Cyclohexane/Adipic Acid – Nylon 6,6 precursors
- Caprolactam – Nylon 6 precursor
- 1:30 PMDay 3 Afternoon Session
Exploring the Aromatics Value Chain (continued)
- Polyurethanes – Very high value business
- MDI/TDI – The two large volume isocyanates for polyurethane production. Phosgene provides a barrier to entry
- PTA/DMT – Key monomers for polyester
- Polyester (PET) – The fastest growing polymer in the world. Fiber, film and bottle end-uses
- 3:20 PMExploring the C1 Value Chain – Cheap Shale Gas and Coal is Stimulating Interest
- Synthesis gas (Syngas) – What is it, how we make it and what we do with it
- Ammonia – The world’s largest volume chemical
- Methanol – Who says you can’t teach an old dog new tricks – Increasing fuel uses and MTO
- Acetic Acid/Acetic Anhydride – Totally built up from C1 chemistry
- VAM/PVAc/PVOH/PVB – An extensive value chain into very specialized end-use applications
Wrap-up and Conclusion of Course