IHS-SGX Joint Coal Dialogue
Evolving dynamics of the Asian coal and freight markets
China's economic slowdown and anti-pollution drive have weighed heavily on the country's coal demand, with the resulting retreat in power and steel consumption hampering both domestic and imported coal demand. Production fell 7.2% on the year to 2.1Bt in January-July, while imports plunged 33.9% over the same period, to 121.1Mt. Excess domestic supply, lackluster demand, heavy losses among coal producers and the weaker renminbi are leading to wider market speculation that domestic producers will soon pursue exports more aggressively.
India’s imports are on the rise, though uncertainty remains over future import requirements amidst growing domestic output. Indonesian suppliers appear to be taking the brunt of weaker seaborne demand in thermal coal, while North American producers have been under pressure in coking coal. Freight rates meanwhile are an important dynamic in the seaborne coal markets, with recently low rates arguably leveling out the global playing field and impacting seaborne trade flows.
Join us and a range of industry experts to discuss the key drivers of the seaborne coal and dry bulk freight markets, and how these are expected to evolve moving forward.