Maritime & Trade Seminar - Dry Bulk Market Outlook

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  • 世界、アジア、日本のミクロ経済予測
  • 短期的な経済予測とFTAやTPPにともなって生じ得る貿易取引の変化を反映した、日本関連の資源需要
  • 世界貿易における日本の貿易トレンド、および予測
  • コンテナ化/非コンテナ化ドライバルク商品貿易

Join us for our Maritime & Trade Seminar in Tokyo
"Dry Bulk Market Outlook"

The dry bulk markets have witnessed extreme volatility in recent years, with significant levels of litigation disrupting the market, strong fluctuations in the Baltic Dry Bulk Index (The Index has fallen by 90% since reaching a high in 2008, and in February 2015 we saw the worst performance in three decades), and uncertainty as to when the markets are likely to recover.

Understanding the global dry bulk market is critical to Japan's shipbuilding industry. IHS Markit has the numbers on economic growth in sectors that rely on iron ore, metallurgical coal, thermal coal, grains and minor bulks. This gives us demand for dry bulk shipping. It's well known there's too much vessel capacity, but how significant is this? Does the age profile of the fleet suggest better prospects in the short- to medium-term? What are the prospects for shipowner profitability in 2025 or 2030, and what are the implications for shipbuilders specialising in the dry bulk sector?

In this seminar, our experts will show that the dry bulk sector, in Japan and more globally, is entering a period of slower growth as the focus on one rapidly-expanding economy – China – softens and shifts to a broader, more diverse model covering both developed and emerging economies. Dry bulk ships will become more efficient, more economical, and more environmentally-friendly.

This has consequences for Japan's shipbuilders. How can they boost profitability while maintaining technological leadership? How can they create radical new designs while serving a conservative industry? Many questions to which IHS Markit can offer a unique insight.

Key topics to be covered in the seminar include:

  • Global, Asia and Japan microeconomic forecasts
  • Japan-related demand for resources refracting near-term economic forecasts and possible changes on trade with FTA/TPP
  • Trends in Japan global trade & World Trade Service – Dry Bulk to the world with projected forecast
  • Containerized/Non Containerized dry bulk commodity trade
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