Financial Briefing Series

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Emerging Risks in Turkey and Russia

IHS Country Risk Breakfast Briefing

Please join us on 15 September, at our office in London, for a breakfast briefing on emerging risks across Turkey and Russia. We will focus on evolving situations and examine the risk implications across the wider region.

Turkey topics covered:

Turkey’s snap election, to be held in November 2015, comes at a time when the government's two-pronged campaign against the PKK and Islamic State has notably increased terrorism risks from both groups.

  • Turkey’s political and business environment leading up to and after the snap election in late 2015
  • The interaction of political instability with structural weaknesses in Turkey’s economy and the banking risk profile
  • PKK:
    • Likelihood of a return to peace negotiations
    • Terrorism targeting outlook, including energy assets, infrastructure and intercity roads in southeast Turkey
    • The risk of retaliatory attacks by the Islamic State in major Turkish cities
  • The risk of retaliatory attacks by the Islamic State in major Turkish cities

Russia topics covered:

Russia: As Western sanctions continue to compound the fiscal pressures of lower energy prices, currency depreciation, and a contracting economy, President Vladimir Putin's government maintains strong public support – but indicators of internal instability are beginning to show.

  • Policy and government instability increasing ahead of the 2016 parliamentary and 2018 presidential elections
  • Sanctions, regulatory and expropriation outlook for international companies doing business in Russia
  • Government finance and rising risks of contract alterations
  • Scenarios for war risks in Ukraine and the Baltics
  • Terrorism risks in Northern Caucasus

Agenda

8:30 am – 9:00 am               Registration and breakfast
9:00 am – 10:15 am             Briefing and Question and Answer

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