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Energy Outlook Seminar: Upstream - Understanding the New Roadmap Tokyo, Japan

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Friday,14 September 2018

  • 1:00 pm
    • 1:00 pm Registration
    • 1:30 pm Welcome Address

      Akira Suzuki, President, ICEP
      Smarco Ho, Vice President, IHS Markit

    • 1:40 pm Upstream - Re-defining Competitiveness

      Post the 2014 down cycle , the industry has reset; has restructured; and is retooling for the future. To be competitive companies have to choose which business model to implement and execute, as well as what capabilities and trends they will need to master to be successful. The choice will likely define who the big winners and losers will be. This discussion will look at the top trends and top capabilities required - what role will exploration play; what analytical skills are needed, and how to balance the role of de-carbonization and fossil fuels.

      Bob Fryklund, Upstream Energy, Vice President & Chief Strategist

    • 2:10 pm Zones of Vulnerability: Mapping where down-cycle risks live on

      While oil prices may have shifted from “lower for longer” to “loftier for longer” driven by supply reductions and geopolitical risks, the recent downcycle will have a long tail in some important producer countries. The resulting shifts in vulnerability have laid the foundations for future production disruptions and petroleum policy changes, as well as emerging opportunities. This presentation explores producer vulnerability as the market improves, and the ensuing above-ground implications for upstream investors in these countries.

      Rachel Calvert, Associate Director – Exploration & Production, IHS Markit

    • 2:40 pm Coffee Break
    • 2:55 pm Divergence in the Middle East: Charting the highs and lows of hydrocarbon activity within this critical region

      This presentation will examine the ebbs and flows of hydrocarbon opportunities and key drivers in the Middle East. Whilst some countries are witnessing an unprecedented transformation in their approach to the entire value chain, others are struggling to develop their vast resources against a shifting political backdrop

      Sarah Haggas, Regional Director, Middle East

    • 3:35 pm E&P Opportunities in Southeast Asia

      The strategy of each Asia Pacific explorer today is a singular combination that meets ongoing investor expectations, leverages and de-risks monetization schedules, aligns with national goals, and builds on the company's expertise and track record as well as that of its partners. This presentation dives into the exploration and broader upstream strategies of Asia Pacific players and looks at the opportunities - bid rounds, contract expirations, and fiscal changes - coming up in the year ahead for this truly dynamic region.

      Antonio Dimabuyu, Executive Director,Upstream Research

    • 4:15 pm North America - How High and How Long?

      The US is pushing new records each new month as it heads towards new production heights-- 11 Mmbo/d in 2018 and 76 BCF/d of gas and new exports heights- 3 mmb/d of crude and 20 MPTA of LNG.

      The Permian is leading the way for liquids as it climbs over 3.5 MMbo/d this year and heads towards 5 MMb/d in 2020; and the Marcellus heads towards 20 BCF/d. The Eagle Ford, Bakken , Stack, Haynesville and Utica are also continuing to grow. But as production continues to grow so do potential issues to realizing those heights-pipeline bottlenecks are surfacing in the Permian and Marcellus and pricing discounts are rising for crude prices. So how high will US production rise to and how long will the production last.

      Bob Fryklund, Upstream Energy, Vice President & Chief Strategist

    • 4:55 pm Closing Remarks
    • 5:00 pm Networking Cocktail
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