Latin American LPG Seminar & Workshops 2017

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Tuesday, Nov 07, 2017

    • 8:00 amFull Day Workshop
    • 8:00 amHalf Day Workshop
    • 1:00 pmHalf Day Workshop
    • 6:00 pmWelcome Reception: Panama Canal

Wednesday, Nov 08, 2017

    • 8:00 amRegistration and Breakfast
    • 9:00 amWelcome Remarks

      Walt Hart, Vice President, Natural Gas Liquids, IHS Markit

    • 9:10 amKeynote: LPG and the Expanded Panama Canal

      Jose Ramon Arango, Executive VP, Planning and Business Development, Panama Canal Authority

    • 9:40 amImpact of the Global and Regional Economy on Energy Markets

      Rafael Amiel, Director, IHS Markit Economics

    • 10:00 amOverview of Global LPG Supply and Demand

      Walt Hart, Vice President, Natural Gas Liquids, IHS Markit

      Global LPG supply has been growing rapidly despite the fluctuations in crude oil pricing, but the major contributors to LPG production growth will be concentrated in just a few regions. Demand growth will continue to be dominated by Asia, so incremental waterborne exports will mostly need to make their way to the East. The US will remain the world's largest LPG exporting country, and will be the largest supplier to Northeast Asia by the end of the decade. Surplus butane should mostly be absorbed by residential/ commercial demand growth, but the propane surplus will likely need to be cleared by chemicals demand, unless we experience major LPG demand growth from power generation or bunker fuel.

    • 10:20 amHow US exports have affected trade for Trinidad

      Matik Nicholls, Vice President Marketing, Phoenix Park Gas Processors Limited

    • 10:40 amNetworking Break
    • 11:10 amFleet Growth, Trade Growth and Freight Rates

      Will Holeman, Senior Consultant, Oil Markets and Downstream, IHS Markit

      • The factors that determine contract VLGC freight rates
      • Historic and forecast growth in the VLGC fleet and implications for time charter rates
      • The impact of fleet utilization on time charter rates
      • Growth rates of trade and the VLGC fleet
      • The influence of the differential between trade growth and fleet growth on time charter rates
      • Benchmark freight rate outlook
    • 11:30 amOutlook for the VLGC Fleet

      Peter Hadjipateras, Corporate Development Manager, Dorian

    • 11:50 amThe Roadmap to a Billion - Latin American Progress

      Michael Kelly, Director, WLPGA

      Latin American regional demand is around three quarters residential/commercial, it is important to understand how residential/commercial demand will continue to evolve – especially in the face of so many regional crises. These crises leave little extra money for some of these governments to pursue noble social programs like targeted LPG subsidies. There are other countries with less daunting problems where residential/commercial demand should be able to expand with the aid of government support (and not just through subsidies).

    • 12:10 pmLatin American Petrochemical Industry: Growth Opportunity through Feedstock Availability

      Rina Quijada, Sr. Director Business Development Latin America, IHS Markit

      The petrochemical industry in Latin America is trying to catch up with demand growth in past years. Main limitation to growth is lack of abundant and competitively priced feedstock throughout the region. From Mexico to Patagonia, demand growth for petrochemicals is heavily supported by imported raw materials. However, with additional production of NGLs, mainly from the U.S. we expect to see surplus product arriving in Latin America. Ethane and LPG imports are expected to increase and provide growth opportunity for selected petrochemicals in Latin America. We also anticipate additional feedstock supply from within the region. Countries like Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia and Peru are working on monetizing natural resources and providing additional feedstock to help grow domestic production of petrochemicals. We hope to provide significant insight through this presentation to help identify growth opportunities for petrochemicals in Latin America.

    • 12:30 pmPanel Discussion
    • 1:00 pmLunch
    • 2:10 pmLatin America LPG Overview

      Adrian Calcaneo, Senior Consultant, Midstream Oil & NGL Consulting, IHS Markit

    • 2:30 pmColombian LPG Market Overview

      Camilo Gomez, CEO, Agremgas

    • 2:50 pmSmall and Medium Size Gas Carrier Markets

      Kim Davies, Head of Corporate Development, Navigator Gas

      • Seaborne trade routes in Latin America
      • Handy-size and midsize vessels as an enabler to the Latin American market
      • Case study: Experiences of operating vessels in Latin America
      • Key considerations for future growth
    • 3:10 pmMexico's Tansition to an Open LPG Market

      Susana Ivana Cazorla Espinosa, Head LPG Division, CRE

    • 3:30 pmNetworking Break
    • 4:00 pmLPG to Asia via the Panama Canal

      Naoya Yamamoto, General Manager, London Branch, Astomos

      • LPG supply and demand in Japan
      • Japan's policy for energy security
      • Trend and outlook in Japanese LPG industry
      • Creating new demand "Possibility of LPG bunker fuel"
    • 4:20 pmArgentine LPG and Natural Gas Market – Impact of Vaca Muerta

      Roberto Carncier, CEO, Hub Energia

      A description of the current natural gas situation in Argentina and the impact of Vaca Muerta. This presentation will also examine the good NGL quality of Vaca Muerta natural gas, LPG production, market, prices and new project expectations.

    • 4:40 pmTrends in Waterborne LPG Trade

      Scott Gray, Senior Director, Waterborne, IHS Markit

    • 5:00 pmNorth America LPG Outlook

      Joe Fasullo, Manager of International NGLs, Enterprise Products Partners

    • 5:20 pmPanel Discussion
    • 6:00 pmNetworking Reception

Thursday, Nov 09, 2017

    • 7:45 amRegistration and Breakfast
    • 8:20 amOpening Remarks

      Scott Gray, Senior Director, Waterborne, IHS Markit

    • 8:30 amOutlook for the LPG Market in Mexico

      Octavio Perez, CEO, Amexgas

    • 8:50 amLPG Outlook for Brazil

      Diego Ciufici N. Alves, Executive Director, AIGLP

      The current state of the Brazilian market and the new LPG primary supply scenarios.

    • 9:10 amThe LPG Market in Panama

      Jose Morales, President, Admiral Services

    • 9:30 amInternational LPG Pricing Trends

      Debnil Chowdhury, Director, Natural Gas Liquids Research, IHS Markit

    • 9:50 amPanel Discussion
    • 10:10 amNetworking Break
    • 10:40 amRoundtable: Reforms to US Trade Policy and Implications for Latin American LPG

      Moderator: Adrian Calcaneo, Sr.Consultant, Midstream Oil & NGL Consulting, IHS Markit

      Jose Ramon Arango, Executive VP, Planning and Business Development, Panama Canal Authority
      Rob Donaldson, Vice President, Targa
      Shawn Grau, LPG Trader, Trafigura
      Ralf Luther, Senior Trader, Carib LPG Trading Ltd.
      Deacon Shorr, President, Libra Fearnley Energy

    • 11:55 amClosing Remarks
    • 12:00 pmPanama Canal Tour Lunch
    • 1:00 pmDepart hotel for Panama Canal
    • 7:00 pmNetworking Dinner

* Agenda subject to change

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